100%电气化和基于可再生能源的埃塞俄比亚电力部门发展战略

Md. Alam Hossain Mondal, E. Bryan, C. Ringler, M. Rosegrant
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引用次数: 1

摘要

这项研究显示了对埃塞俄比亚未来电力供应政策的评估。本研究还利用MARKAL能源系统模型,探讨了以满足该国可持续能源系统发展目标和改善能源安全的方式实现能源供应结构多样化的机会。该建模工作将普遍电气化、零碳排放和出口选择等国家政策纳入其中,以找到成本最低的技术组合,以满足社会经济快速发展带来的国家不断增长的能源需求。该模型将可再生能源技术(ret)用于发电,因为它们在埃塞俄比亚的潜力相对较高。水电、太阳能光伏和风能对提高能源安全做出了重大贡献。为了达到政策目标,ret的累积能源供应成本并不显著高于基本情况。其他政策选择在短期内显示出较高的投资成本,但在可持续能源系统发展和所有人获得现代能源方面具有长期利益。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
100% electrification and renewable based Ethiopian power sector development strategies
This study shows an assessment of future electricity supply policies for Ethiopia. This study also examines opportunities to diversify the energy supply-mix in ways that meet the country's goals of sustainable energy system development and improved energy security, using the MARKAL energy system model. National policies, such as universal electrification, zero carbon emissions and export options are integrated in this modeling work to find the least-cost mix of technologies to meet the country's rising demand for energy given rapid socio-economic development. The model allocates renewable energy technologies (RETs) for electricity production, as their potential is relatively high in Ethiopia. Hydro, Solar PV and wind contribute significantly to improve energy security. The cumulative energy supply costs with RETs is not significantly higher than the base case to meet the policy targets. Alternative policy options show higher investment costs in the near term but have long-term benefits in terms of sustainable energy system development and access to modern sources of energy for all.
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