在快速计数上确定精确结果的样本量

Yusep Ridwan, Rizqon Halal Syah Aji
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在回答在选举快速计票的情况下,适当的样本量问题,使所得结果更接近实际结果。虽然在快速计数法中,有一些实际的程序被广泛用于计算样本量,但在现实中,得到的结果往往与实际结果有偏差,因此精度问题一直是一个有趣的讨论话题。关于样本量的拟定问题以及预测结果的精度水平如何是需要讨论的重要问题。这种研究方法包含在实验研究中,其中使用的分析是Kruskal-Wallis测试。所使用的数据是由顾问和团队从摄政选举Sumedang的实际计票结果中获得的主要数据。结果表明,7个样本量组在选票获取和投票站投票百分比(TPS)方面存在显著差异,其中样本量n=408, n=500, n=875和n=1674是实施快速点票最合适的样本量。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Determine Sample Size for Precision Results on Quick Count
This research aims to answer the problem of the appropriate sample size in the case of the quick count of the election so that the results obtained are close to the actual results. Although there are practical procedures that are widely used to calculate the sample size in the quick count methodology, in reality, the results obtained often deviate from the actual results, so the issue of precision is always an interesting discussion. The formulation of the problem regarding the size of the sample and how the level of precision of the forecast results are important issue to be discussed. This research method is included in experimental research where the analysis used is the Kruskal-Wallis test. The data used is primary data from the real count results of the regency election Sumedang by consultants and teams. The results showed that there was a significant difference between the seven sample size groups in vote acquisition and the percentage of votes at the polling station (TPS), where the sample sizes n=408, n=500, n=875 and n=1674 were the most appropriate sample sizes in the implementation of the quick count.
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