为什么政府宣布进入紧急状态?-关于实施紧急宪法的决定因素

C. Bjørnskov, S. Voigt
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引用次数: 1

摘要

紧急状态不仅意味着三个政府部门之间的权力平衡发生重大变化,而且还非常频繁地宣布紧急状态:1985年至2014年期间,至少有137个国家至少发生过一次紧急状态。这篇文章首次系统地探讨了决定这种声明的因素。我们发现宪法很重要。在宪法上没有紧急规定的国家比有这种规定的国家更经常地宣布紧急状态。我们还发现,必须区分因自然灾害而宣布的紧急状态与因政治动荡而宣布的紧急状态。在区分宣布紧急状态的成本和收益之后,我们发现,宣布紧急状态的成本越低,就会有越多的人以自然灾害而不是以政治动荡为由宣布紧急状态。因此,这是宪法重要的更多证据。最后,如果经济危机袭击该国,基于政治动荡的紧急情况更有可能被宣布。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Why Do Governments Call a State of Emergency? – On the Determinants of Using Emergency Constitutions
States of emergency do not only imply a significant change in the balance of powers between the three branches of government, they are also very frequently declared: between 1985 and 2014, at least 137 countries were subject to at least one such event. This contribution is the first to systematically inquire into the factors determining such declarations. We find that constitutions matter. Countries without constitutionalized emergency provisions declare states of emergency significantly more often than countries with such provisions. We further find that it is crucial to distinguish between states of emergency declared as a consequence of a natural disaster from those declared as a consequence of political turmoil. Distinguishing between the costs of declaring an emergency and its benefits, we find that the less costly it is to declare an emergency, the more emergencies will be called on the grounds of natural disasters but not on the grounds of political turmoil. This is, hence, more evidence that constitutions matter. Finally, emergencies based on political turmoil are more likely to be declared if an economic crisis is hitting the country.
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