整合StockTwits与情绪分析,以更好地预测股票价格走势

Rakhi Batra, Sher Muhammad Daudpota
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引用次数: 56

摘要

情感分析是一种新的机器学习方法,可以从任何产品、组织、个人或任何其他实体的文本片段中提取意见取向(积极、消极、中立)。情绪分析可以用来预测对股票价格有影响的人的情绪,因此可以帮助预测实际的股票走势。为了利用情绪分析在股票市场行业中的好处,我们对2010年至2017年从StockTwits(社交网站)提取的与苹果产品相关的推文进行了情绪分析。除了推文,我们还使用了从雅虎财经提取的同期市场指数数据。通过支持向量机对推文进行情感分析,计算推文的情感得分。因此,每条推文都被归类为看涨或看跌。然后利用情绪得分和市场数据构建支持向量机模型来预测第二天的股票走势。结果表明,人们的意见与市场数据之间存在正相关关系,所提出的工作对股票的预测准确率为76.65%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Integrating StockTwits with sentiment analysis for better prediction of stock price movement
Sentiment Analysis is new way of machine learning to extract opinion orientation (positive, negative, neutral) from a text segment written for any product, organization, person or any other entity. Sentiment Analysis can be used to predict the mood of people that have impact on stock prices, therefore it can help in prediction of actual stock movement. In order to exploit the benefits of sentiment analysis in stock market industry we have performed sentiment analysis on tweets related to Apple products, which are extracted from StockTwits (a social networking site) from 2010 to 2017. Along with tweets, we have also used market index data which is extracted from Yahoo Finance for the same period. The sentiment score of a tweet is calculated by sentiment analysis of tweets through SVM. As a result each tweet is categorized as bullish or bearish. Then sentiment score and market data is used to build a SVM model to predict next day's stock movement. Results show that there is positive relation between people opinion and market data and proposed work has an accuracy of 76.65% in stock prediction.
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