多出口混合社会力-模糊逻辑疏散仿真模型

Azhar Mohd Ibrahim, Mahsin Saifullah, M. R. M. Romlay, Ibrahim Venkat, Izihan Ibrahim
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引用次数: 4

摘要

当涉及到组织一个更安全的大型集会时,疏散管理系统最重要的一个方面是人群动态。利用疏散过程中人群动态的模拟,规划有效的人群控制,可以在很大程度上减少人群灾害。以往关于疏散模型的研究大多是在离散空间中进行的,忽略了agent决策的不确定性,尤其是在恐慌情况下。本文通过计算机仿真,提出了一个连续空间中不确定条件下的疏散仿真模型。它将侧重于开发一个智能仿真模型,利用人工智能技术之一,即模糊逻辑。社会力模型将作为主体基本运动的基础。在模糊逻辑系统中引入与出口的距离、出口的熟悉度和可见度、出口周围人群的密度等隶属函数对系统进行建模。从我们的研究结果可以推断,密度、距离和熟悉度等因素都对特工从威胁地点撤离的时间有很大影响。确实,不确定性方面会影响agent的决策,从而影响疏散时间的结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Hybrid Social Force-Fuzzy Logic Evacuation Simulation Model for Multiple Exits
One of the most important aspect of evacuation management system, when it comes to organizing a safer large-scale gathering is crowd dynamics. Utilizing evacuation simulation of crowd dynamics during egress, for planning efficient crowd control can minimize crowd disaster to a great extent. Most of the previous studies on evacuation models have been done over a discrete space which have neglected the uncertainty aspect of an agent's decision making, especially when it comes to panic situations. This study proposes a model for evacuation simulation under uncertainty conditions in a continuous space via computer simulations. It will focus on developing an intelligent simulation model utilizing one of the artificial intelligence techniques which is fuzzy logic. Social Force Model will be taken as the base for basic agent motion. Membership functions such as distance from the exit, familiarity and visibility of the exit, density of crowd around the exit are incorporated in the fuzzy logic system to model the system. From our findings, it can be deduced that factors such as density, distance, and familiarity all considerably affect the time of evacuation of agents from the threat place. Indeed, uncertainty aspect influences agents' decision making, thus affecting the result of evacuation time.
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