产消户有那么大的不同吗?来自德国住宅能源消耗的证据

C. Oberst, H. Schmitz, R. Madlener
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引用次数: 47

摘要

摘要本文探讨了居民能源消费对家庭能源消费行为的影响,旨在寻找“产消反弹效应”对能源消费的证据。产消是分布式能源生产的部分自用。我们假设产消家庭在住房状况和社会经济特征方面与消费家庭有系统的不同。我们采用倾向分数匹配作为识别策略,以确保适当的准随机比较。我们采用的数据来自一项针对德国房主的全国性在线调查。虽然数据显示低能耗与产消户之间存在相关性,但我们发现,在可比较的样本中,产消户与非产消户之间的能源消费行为在社会经济和住房特征方面没有显著差异。相反,产消户的低能耗归因于更节能的技术设备,从而归因于购买行为。我们的研究结果没有显示出住宅能源消费行为的负面或正面外部性的证据,因此我们得出结论,没有必要采取额外的政府措施,例如以税收或补贴的形式,来解决能源消费行为的变化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Are Prosumer Households that Much Different? Evidence from Stated Residential Energy Consumption in Germany
Abstract This paper discusses the effect of residential energy prosuming on households' energy consumption behavior with the objective of finding evidence of a ‘prosumer rebound effect’ on energy consumption. Prosuming is the partial self-consumption of distributed energy production. We hypothesize that prosumer households are systematically different from consumer households with regard to housing situation and socio-economic characteristics. We ensure an appropriate quasi-randomized comparison by using propensity score matching as our identification strategy. We employ data from a nationwide online survey among homeowners in Germany. While the data show a correlation between lower energy consumption and prosumer households, we find no significant difference in energy consumption behavior between prosumers and non-prosumers in a comparable sample with regard to socio-economic and housing characteristics. Instead, the lower energy consumption of prosumer households is attributed to more energy-efficient technical equipment and thus to purchasing behavior. Our results do not show evidence of either negative or positive externalities of prosuming on residential energy consumption behavior, and therefore we conclude that there is no need for additional governmental measures, e.g. in the form of taxation or subsidies, to address behavioral changes in energy prosuming.
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