比特币微观结构和泡菜溢价

Kyoung Jin Choi, Alfred Lehar, Ryan Stauffer
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引用次数: 30

摘要

2016年1月至2018年2月期间,比特币在韩国的平均价格比美国高出4.73%,这一事实通常被称为“泡菜溢价”。我们认为,资本管制会产生摩擦,也会放大比特币网络微观结构中的现有摩擦,这些摩擦限制了套利者利用持续价格差异的能力。我们发现,比特币溢价与交易成本、区块链中的确认时间和比特币价格波动呈正相关,这与交易期间的延迟和相关价格风险使交易对厌恶风险的套利者的吸引力降低,从而导致价格分化的观点一致。一项跨国比较显示,在金融自由度较低的国家,比特币的交易价格往往更高。最后,与股票泡沫文献的预测不同,泡菜溢价与交易量呈负相关,这也表明比特币的微观结构对理解泡菜溢价很重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Bitcoin Microstructure and the Kimchi Premium
Between January 2016 and February 2018, Bitcoin were in Korea on average 4.73% more expensive than in the United States, a fact commonly referred to as the Kimchi premium. We argue that capital controls create frictions as well as amplify existing frictions from the microstructure of the Bitcoin network that limit the ability of arbitrageurs to take advantage of persistent price differences. We find that the Bitcoin premia are positively related to transaction costs, confirmation time in the blockchain, and to Bitcoin price volatility in line with the idea that the delay and the associated price risk during the transaction period make trades less attractive for risk averse arbitrageurs and hence allow prices to diverge. A cross country comparison shows that Bitcoin tend to trade at higher prices in countries with lower financial freedom. Finally unlike the prediction from the stock bubble literature, the Kimchi premium is negatively related to the trading volume, which also suggests that the Bitcoin microstructure is important to understand the Kimchi premium.
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