家庭传统主义和特定年龄的婚姻模式:Karachay-Cherkessia的例子说明了什么?

K. Kazenin
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摘要

本文探讨了传统家庭规范与女性初婚年龄的关系。该研究基于北高加索共和国(俄罗斯)卡拉恰伊-切尔克斯的数据,并使用了2018年在那里进行的育龄妇女调查的结果。已经证明,传统的家庭规范,包括那些赋予老一辈权力和将妇女的社会作用限制在家务和抚养孩子的规范,在该地区相当强大。目前的假设是,这些规范通常与女性初婚年龄较低有关。然而,我们使用比例风险模型和逻辑回归对Karachay-Cherkessia数据的分析并不符合这一假设。具体地说,事实证明,恰恰是卡拉恰伊-切尔克斯民族,它显示出传统家庭规范的高度集中,在统计上也显示出女性初婚年龄较大的显著趋势。因此,传统家庭规范和结婚时间之间的关系在不同社会之间的差异似乎比人们想象的要大。讨论了这一结果对研究不同国家和区域发生的人口变化以及传统家庭规范的崩溃的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Family traditionalism and age-specific nuptiality patterns: what does the example of Karachay-Cherkessia point to?
The paper deals with the relation between traditional family norms and women’s age at first marriage. The study is based on data from Karachay-Cherkessia, a republic of the North Caucasus (Russia), and uses results of a survey among women of reproductive ages conducted there in 2018. It has been demonstrated that traditional family norms, including those empowering elder generations and limiting women’s social role to housework and bringing up children, are rather strong in that region. It is currently assumed that these norms generally correlate with women’s younger age at first marriage. However, our analysis of the data from Karachay-Cherkessia, which used proportional hazard models and logistic regressions, does not fit this assumption. Specifically, it turns out that precisely that ethnic group of Karachay-Cherkessia which shows a higher concentration of traditional family norms also demonstrates a statistically significant tendency towards women’s older age at first marriage. Thus the relation between traditional family norms and the timing of marriage appears to vary more across different societies than is supposed. The consequences of this result for the study of demographic transformations taking place in different countries and regions together with the breakdown of traditional family norms are discussed.
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