肯尼亚南部牧场加拉山羊生产系统的死亡率:水平和预测因素

J. Manyeki, Bosco Kidake, Benson Mulei, S. Kuria
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在热带地区的动物生产中,畜群的健康和适应能力是一个值得关注的问题,因为它们持续暴露于多种压力之下,包括低质量和数量的饲料、热应激、高疾病和寄生虫发病率、不良的饲养和育种方法;这些因素的综合影响是牲畜的高死亡率。与健康有关的高死亡率经常被报道为牲畜生产的主要障碍,因此本文的目的是调查造成大多数死亡的重要传染病和非传染性因素,这对确定死亡率控制战略至关重要。该研究采用描述性Kaplan-Meier方法,并使用2014年至2021年的8年回顾性数据进行截断回归分析。结果表明,传染病是导致加拉山羊死亡的最主要原因。月均死亡率和年平均死亡率较高,断奶前的死亡率似乎是阻碍替代种群发展的主要制约因素之一。高死亡率的风险因素是儿童的年龄和性别。在分析的传染病中,细菌、寄生虫和非特异性传染病是导致加拉山羊死亡的重要原因,而非传染性疾病包括营养不良和热/冷休克。该分析提供了对动物健康相关因素的改进见解,这些因素一旦得到解决,就可以降低死亡率,从而优化加拉山羊生产系统中的畜牧业性能。建议对加拉山羊的健康和饲养进行干预,以控制儿童死亡率。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Mortality in Galla Goat Production System in Southern Rangelands of Kenya: Levels and Predictors
Herd health and adaptability are of concern in animal production in the tropics because of the persistent exposure to multiple stresses of low quality and quantity feeds, heat stress, high disease, and parasite incidences, poor husbandry, and breeding practices; the combined effects of these factors is high livestock mortality. High health-related mortality has been frequently reported as the major impediment to livestock production and thus the aim of this article is to investigate the vital infectious diseases and non-infectious factors that account for the majority of deaths which is crucial in determining mortality control strategies. The study applies a descriptive, Kaplan-Meier method, and truncated regression analysis using an eight-year retrospective data spanning from 2014 to 2021 was applied for this analysis. The results indicate infectious diseases as the most important cause of Galla goat mortality. The mean monthly and annual mortality rates are higher and the pre-weaning mortality of Galla goat appeared to be one of the major constraints hampering the development of replacement stock. The risk factors considered for high mortality were the age and sex of the kids. Among the infectious diseases analyzed, bacterial, parasitic, and non-specific infectious diseases were identified as the important causes of Galla goat mortality, while the non-infectious conditions included malnutrition and thermal/cold shock. The analysis provided an improved insight into animal-health-related factors which once addressed could reduce mortality and hence optimize animal husbandry performance in Galla goat production systems. Interventions in Galla goat health and husbandry are recommended to control kids' mortality.
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