2019冠状病毒病背景下的犯罪:萨尔达尼亚湾市案例

Ivan Henrico, Nkosana Mayoyo, B. Mtshawu
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引用次数: 2

摘要

南非面临着高犯罪率。这项研究的背景是萨尔达尼亚湾市,这里充斥着贫穷、失业和黑帮现象,剥夺了人们的生活质量,造成了社会弊病。虽然犯罪管理和预防战略需要有关犯罪趋势的信息,但萨尔达尼亚湾市区的这类信息有限。因此,该研究旨在说明萨尔达尼亚湾市的犯罪空间分布和趋势,重点关注2017年1月至2020年6月期间,并指出COVID-19近期对这些犯罪趋势的影响。研究结果以图表的形式呈现,并利用ArcGIS Getis-Ord Gi·统计工具进行热点制图。这些结果表明,在过去三年中,犯罪率有所上升,犯罪活动与大多数人居住和工作的城市中心有关。就COVID-19大流行和封锁规定对犯罪的影响而言,有趣的是,与调查期间的其他时间相比,封锁的前三个月(2020年4月至2020年6月)犯罪率的变化。在调查的五个城镇中,总人口最多、在封锁前犯罪率最高的弗莱登堡镇从第一名上升到第三名,仅次于朗格班和圣赫勒拿湾。同样,人口总数第二高的萨尔达尼亚湾(Saldanha Bay)跌至第四。霍普菲尔德仍然是平均犯罪率最低的城镇。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Crime in the context of COVID-19: The case of Saldanha Bay Municipality
South Africa faces high levels of crime. The Saldanha Bay Municipality, the setting of this study is laden with poverty, unemployment and gangsterism that deprive quality of life and contribute to social ills. While crime management and prevention strategies require information regarding crime trends, this information for the Saldanha Bay Municipality area is limited. Hence, the study aimed to illustrate the spatial distribution and trends of crime in the Saldanha Bay Municipality, focusing on the period January 2017 to June 2020, and to indicate the recent impact of COVID-19 on these crime trends. The results of the study are presented by means of graphs and tables, and hotspot mapping was done using the ArcGIS Getis-Ord Gi· statistics tool. These results indicate that crime has increased over the past three years and that criminal activities are linked to urban hubs where most people stay and work. In terms of the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic and the lockdown regulations on crime, it is interesting to note the variations in crime rates during the first three months of lockdown (from April 2020 to June 2020) when compared to the rest of the period under investigation. Amongst the five towns investigated, the town of Vredenburg which has the highest population total and was ranked highest in terms of crime rates prior to the lockdown, moved from first to third, behind Langebaan and St Helena Bay. Similarly, Saldanha Bay with the second highest population total moved down to fourth. Hopefield was still the town with the lowest mean crime rate.
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