欧盟、俄罗斯与MH17事件:战略叙事分析(2014-2019)

Paulo Ramos, A. Vieira
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摘要

文章发表在《欧亚研究》、《后苏联事务》、《事务评论》、《旁观者》等期刊上,为欧盟机构智库发表了多篇简报和报告。摘要2014年乌克兰爆发的武装冲突影响了相关国家的互动方式,以及它们如何在新的地区政治背景下寻求实施某些叙事。虽然俄罗斯在其周边地区采取了更加自信的立场,试图通过一种与欧盟(EU)倡导的西方价值观相矛盾的叙事,但面对过去五年的事态发展,欧盟在呈现连贯的叙事方面表现出一些困难。在这个意义上,本文建议以马航MH17客机坠毁事件为例,分析欧盟与俄罗斯的互动关系。分析视角结合了角色理论和战略叙事的元素,角色理论关注的是国家之间基于对其内部(国家)和外部(地区/国际)角色的某些期望的互动。探讨了问题叙事(包括贝林凯特调查小组叙事)、制度叙事和身份叙事之间的差异。本文提出的论点是,欧盟问题叙事的外部化以两种截然不同的方式出现——一种是作为一个机构,其官方立场更为温和;另一个从东部战略司令部任务小组(EATF)所做的工作的角度来看更加自信。这最终在欧盟设计叙事的方式上造成了一些不协调,并与欧盟作为一个角色国家的叙事身份不一致。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
European Union, Russia and the MH17 case: strategic narratives’ analysis (2014-2019)
her articles published the Europe-Asia Studies, Post-Soviet Affairs, Review of Affairs, Spectator journals, published several briefing papers and reports for EU institutions think-tanks Abstract The armed conflict that has erupted in Ukraine in 2014 has been affecting the way the states involved interact and how they seek to implement certain narratives in a new regional political context. While Russia has taken a more assertive stance in its neighbourhood through a narrative that seeks to contradict Western values promoted by the European Union (EU), the latter has shown some difficulty in presenting a coherent narrative in the face of developments over the past five years. In this sense, this article proposes to analyse the EU-Russia interaction, using as a case study the incident involving the crash of the Malaysia Airlines civil aircraft MH17. The analytical perspective combines elements of Role Theory - which here focuses on the interaction of states on the basis of certain expectations regarding their internal (national) and external (regional/international) roles - and Strategic Narratives. The differences between issue narratives (including regarding the Bellingcat Investigation Team narrative), system narratives and identity narratives are explored. The argument presented here is that the externalization of the EU issue narrative has emerged in two distinct ways - one more moderate in its official stance as an institution; another more assertive from the point of view of the work done by the East Stratcom Task Force (EATF). This ends up creating some dissonance in the way the European Union designs its narrative, and misalignment with the EU's narrative identity as a role state.
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