VUCA n + 1。向无限和更远!

D. Stănescu, M. C. Romașcanu
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引用次数: 1

摘要

从观察到如今,在Horney等人(2010)所描述的以波动性、不确定性、复杂性和模糊性为特征的世界中运作的需求比以往任何时候都更加明显,我们的目标是识别和揭示对不断的VUCA模型的需求。在过去十年中,由于技术、政治、金融和行政领域的快速变化,VUCA一词很容易在其他领域迁移,被转化为一种常用表达(Sarkar, 2016)。在此背景下,我们分析了现有的VUCA模型,提出了n+1版本的VUCA模型。在当前的一系列事件中,包括英国脱欧,特别是2019冠状病毒病大流行,在我们目前面临的破坏性时期,管理者应对不断变化的商业环境的方式变得不那么有效。因此,开发了VUCA 2.0模型。包含相同首字母缩略词的模型基于以下要素:愿景,理解,勇气和适应性(George, 2017)。但是,在过去的几年里,技术加速了VUCA世界的发展,在2020年,VUCA 3.0出现了(Day, 2020)。正如分析结果所指出的那样,变化的速度和幅度令人难以置信,加上企业管理方式的相关颠覆,需要不断发展一个永无止境的VUCA n+1模型。随着自动化、网络系统和人工智能的广泛传播,一种新的VUCA模型将很快成为必要。这个框架邀请读者不仅要考虑潜在的,而且要考虑VUCA模型的实际无限序列。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
VUCA n+1. To the Infinity and Beyond!
Starting from the observation that nowadays, the need to operate in a world described by Horney et al. (2010) as a world characterized by its volatility, uncertainties, complexity, and ambiguity has become more evident than ever, we aim at identifying and reveal the need for a ceaseless VUCA model. During the last decade, the term VUCA has easily migrated in other areas, being transformed into a common expression due to rapid change manifested in the technological, political, financial, and administrative fields (Sarkar, 2016). In this context, we have analyzed the existing VUCA models and proposed the n+1 version of them. Within the current stream of events, including Brexit and especially the COVID-19 pandemic, the way managers addressed the ever-changing business environment has become less efficient in the current disruptive type of period we are facing. Therefore, the VUCA 2.0 model was developed. The model comprising the same acronym is based on the following elements: vision, understanding, courage, and adaptability (George, 2017). But, in the last years, technology has accelerated the VUCA world and, in 2020, the VUCA 3.0 popped out (Day, 2020). As the results of the analysis pointed out, the incredible pace and amplitude of change, together with the associated disruption in the way businesses are managed, call for the constant development of a never-ending VUCA n+1 model. With a wider spread of automatization, cyber systems, and artificial intelligence, a new VUCA model will soon be necessary. This framework invites the reader to think not only about a potential but to a factual infinite sequence of VUCA models.
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