求解理性预期模型

J. Barthélemy, M. Marx
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引用次数: 7

摘要

在本章中,我们介绍了解决理性期望模型的主要方法的理论基础,并特别关注摄动方法。我们将注意力限制在状态变量数量有限的模型上。我们首先对线性模型的求解方法给出了一些见解。其次,我们展示了如何使用摄动方法来求解非线性模型。然后我们记录了这种方法的局限性。摄动方法虽然是宏观经济文献中最常用的求解方法,但不适用于大波动(大冲击或状态切换)和强非线性(例如偶尔约束约束)的情况。然后通过研究状态切换模型对前者进行了广泛的说明。我们还通过研究在零下限约束下(即名义利率非负的条件下)求解理性预期模型的现有方法来说明后一种情况。最后,我们简要介绍了全局方法,这些方法是摄动方法在求解模型失败时的替代方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Solving Rational Expectations Models
In this chapter, we present theoretical foundations of main methods solving rational expectations models with a special focus on perturbation approaches. We restrict our attention to models with a finite number of state variables. We first give some insights on the solution methods for linear models. Second, we show how to use the perturbation approach for solving non-linear models. We then document the limits of this approach. The perturbation approach, while it is the most common solution method in the macroeconomic literature, is inappropriate in a context of large fluctuations (large shocks or regime switching) and of strong non-linearities (e.g. occasionally binding constraints). The former case is then illustrated extensively by studying regime switching models. We also illustrate the latter case by studying existing methods for solving rational expectations models under the Zero Lower Bound constraint, i.e. the condition of non negativity of the nominal interest rate. Finally, we end up with a brief presentation of global methods which are alternatives when the perturbation approach fails in solving models.
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