EROI概述,一个通过能源转换来衡量能源可用性的工具

Kevin Pahud, Greg De Temmerman
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摘要

能源消费对社会繁荣的重要性已得到充分确认,能源需求的前景也通过科学文献得到了很好的推导。然而,关于当前工业经济体未来能源供应的讨论较少,这是发展的一个关键指标。它被定义为净能量分析,一个人必须获得比所需更多的能量。最常见的指标是能源回收期和能源投资回报率(EROI)。这些指标在整个文献中用于能量矢量、能量系统或更广泛的社会应用。随着对气候变化的日益关注,以及化石燃料开采难度的增加,EROI成为研究全球能源转型的工具,重点是维持复杂社会所需的最低EROI。然而,该指标与各种各样的方法、定义和边界一起使用。这导致在向可再生能源系统过渡是否仍然可以为社会繁荣提供足够的净能源方面缺乏共识。对EROI的概念进行了研究,汇编了其各种定义、界限和限制,以便清楚地了解该指标可以在何处和如何使用。这导致发现了三个主要类别的指标:物理EROI,一个基于能源消耗的指标,一个基于价格的社会EROI,一个使用货币支出来研究能源相关支出的指标,最后是一个社会经济EROI,它研究一个国家经济中的能源支出。对这些用例的详细回顾使我们了解到EROI通常是通过错误的边界、目标或旧数据计算出来的,并且没有规范存在于其计算中。这些不一致倾向于将可再生能源技术作为能源转型的解决方案。此外,大多数最小eroi的计算都是基于化石燃料基础设施,目前的能源系统效率非常低。先前通过文献计算的最小eroi,惩罚可再生技术,受到挑战。根据最新的数据和文献,本研究讨论了摆脱对化石燃料依赖的可能性,最终得出结论,可再生能源可以通过能源转型提供足够的能源。然而,这种充足性是有短期限制的,随后由于减缓气候变化的全球转变的短暂性,净能源可能会下降。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Overview of the EROI, a tool to measure energy availability through the energy transition
The importance of energy consumption to allow societies to thrive is well established and prospects of energy needs is well derived through the scientific literature. Yet, lesser discussions persist on the future availability of energy for current industrial economies, a crucial indicator for development. It is defined as net-energy analysis, where one must appropriate more energy than required to get it. The most common indicators are the energy payback time and the EROI (Energy Return of Investment). These indicators are used throughout literature either for energy vectors, energy systems or for broader societal applications. Following growing concerns about climate change, and with the increasing difficulty of extraction of fossil fuels, EROIs became tools to study the global energy transition with a focus on a possible minimum EROI required to maintain a complex society. However, the indicator is used with a large variety of methods, definitions, and boundaries. This led to a lack of consensus on whether a transition to renewable-based energy systems could still provide sufficient net energy for societies to thrive. The concepts of EROI were studied by compiling its various definitions, boundaries, and limits, allowing a clear view of the indicator to understand where and how it could be used. This led to finding three main classes of indicators: the physical EROI, an indicator based on energy consumption, a price-based societal EROI, an indicator using monetary expenditures to look at energy-related expenditures, and finally a socioeconomic EROI which looks at energy expenditures within a nation's economy. A detailed review of those use cases led to understanding that the EROI is often badly calculated through wrong boundaries, goals, or with old data and that no norm exists for its calculation. These inconsistencies tend to negatively bias renewable technologies as a solution to the energy transition. Furthermore, most calculations of minimal EROIs are based on fossil fuel infrastructure, with current energy systems being highly inefficient. The previously calculated minimal EROIs through literature, penalizing renewable technologies, are challenged. The study discusses the possibility of transitioning away from fossil fuels' dependence based on updated data and literature to finally conclude that renewable can offer sufficient energy through the energy transition. This sufficiency however comes with short-term limits followed by a possible drop in net-energy due to the transitory nature of the global shift to mitigate climate change.
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