Software LCCE Costs: A “Bad News” Forecast Produced by Cost Analysts, Or Now That We Have the Bad News, What are We Going to Do about It?

Abstract This paper is a prime example of how cost analysis (based-on early program data) can predict a likely program meltdown of a large DoD project several years before it will happen. Using actual program data, we present a devastating case for near certain cost overruns, program delays and client dissatisfaction. This predictive information makes a powerful case for substantial and essential changes in the program direction, scope, timing and assumptions early in the project. As any program manager knows, the earlier you react to program data, the more maneuver room you have.