经济一体化与货币和股票市场的关系

Muhammad Aftab, R. Ahmad, Izlin Ismail, Kate Phylaktis
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引用次数: 19

摘要

本文采用线性和非线性框架考察了经济一体化对一组亚洲新兴经济体货币和股票市场关系的影响。我们首先推导了两个市场之间的动态条件相关性,然后考察了经济一体化对它们之间关系的影响。我们的主要结果是:(i)除中国外,所有国家的实际汇率变化与股票回报差异之间存在负相关关系,在全球金融危机期间,对一些国家来说,这种关系变得更深;(ii)实体经济和金融经济一体化对两个市场之间的关系在短期和长期都有不对称的影响;(三)采用线性框架并不能反映出金融一体化的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Economic Integration and the Currency and Equity Markets Nexus
The paper examines the impact of economic integration on the relationship between the currency and equity markets for a group of Asian emerging economies using both linear and nonlinear frameworks. We first derive the dynamic conditional correlations between the two markets and then examine the impact of economic integration on their relationship. Our main results are: (i) there is a negative correlation between real exchange rate changes and equity return differentials for all countries apart from China, which becomes deeper during the GFC for some of the countries; (ii) economic integration, both real and financial, has an asymmetric impact on the relationship between the two markets both in the short-run and in the long-run; and (iii) applying a linear framework does not bring out the impact of financial integration.
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