埃及经济结构变化与经济增长高级研究

Hany M. Elshamy
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文对1983-2014年埃及的经济结构变化和经济增长进行了分析。本文采用了Vries et a. 2014的程序。本文利用新颖的佩恩世界表(PWT)改编信息库来涵盖1983年至2014年的某个时期。研究发现,1983-2014年期间经济结构发生了变化,农业部门的重要性随着时间的推移而下降,工业部门的重要性从1990年开始扩大,服务业的重要性在2000年之后扩大。此外,这一探索证实了两个系列的就业和GDP增长率之间存在坚实的联系(相关系数为85.11%)。正如劳动生产率恶化所表明的那样,内部影响始终比总再分配影响更值得注意。然而,如果我们对总再分配影响的两个部分进行比较,可以清楚地看到,动态再分配影响在决定总生产率增长方面起着重要作用。因此,应该制订另一项战略,支持埃及各个部门和地区的自愿劳工运动。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Advanced Study on Economic Structural Change and Economic Growth in Egypt
This paper reasons about the economic structural change and economic growth in Egypt amid the period 1983-2014. This paper utilizes the procedure of Vries et a. 2014. The paper utilizes the novel Penn World Table (PWT) adaptation 9 information base to cover the period somewhere around 1983 and 2014. It is found that there were economic structure changes amid the period 1983-2014 as the significance of the agriculture sector declined over the time, the significance of the industry sector expanded since to 1990, and the significance of the service sector expanded following 2000. Additionally, this exploration affirms that there is a solid connection (with a coefficient correlation of 85.11 percent) between the two series of employment and GDP growth rates. As indicated by the labour productivity deterioration the inside impact was constantly more noteworthy than the aggregate reallocation impact However, in the event that we take a gander at the two parts of the aggregate reallocation impact, unmistakably the dynamic reallocation impact has a major part in deciding the total productivity growth. Therefore, another strategy ought to be intended to support the voluntary labour movement crosswise over sectors and areas in Egypt.
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