风险科学:决策和争议的专业知识

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摘要

与“成本效益分析、技术评估、社会预测等”并列的系统分析的主导范式(胡斯1979,192)。从它最初形成的那一刻起,风险评估就被认为是“技术管理新形式出现的征兆,其中最明显的是对拟议发展的预期影响的详细分析”(Fischhoff 1977)。经济成本效益分析、一般系统分析、运筹学、决策理论思维方式和风险评估都是“对政策科学的尝试”(Wynne 1975,118)。它们组成了一个“技术家族……被认为是通过扩大逻辑和经验调查的作用来改进决策的方法”(Tribe 1972, 75)。Rip(1986)后来将这组科学称为“战略”科学,以传达这样一个事实,即它们在帮助决策方面有着相似的兴趣。通过形成和接受健康风险的定量评估或对其减少的比较经济分析,环境保护署将自己置于这些科学的范围内,并将这种理解环境和健康管理的特殊方式作为做出理性决策的一种方式。社会学家和哲学家经常批评这些政策科学,他们倾向于认为它们代表了一种不断扩大的技术科学或技术官僚意识形态。然而,这种叙述模糊了这些科学及其技术的背景和历史构成。它们是在围绕技术及其危害以及管理技术的政策的公众争议的背景下诞生的。风险研究似乎是为了回应公众对环境和健康危害的争议而形成的知识,旨在解决这些问题。风险科学:决策和争议的专业知识
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Risk Sciences: Expertise for Decision-Making and Dispute
dominant paradigm of systems analysis, alongside “costbenefit analysis, technology assessment, social forecasting and the like” (Hoos 1979, 192). From the moment it first took shape, risk assessment was considered to be a symptom of the emergence of “new forms of technology management, the most visible of which are detailed analyses of the anticipated impact of proposed developments” (Fischhoff 1977). Economic costbenefit analysis, general systems analysis, operations research, decisiontheory way of thought, and risk assessment all are “attempts at policy science” (Wynne 1975, 118). They comprise a “family of techniques ... conceived as ways of improving decisionmaking by broadening the role of logic and empirical inquiry” (Tribe 1972, 75). Rip (1986) later labeled this set of sciences “strategic” sciences, to convey the fact that they shared a similar interest in aiding decisionmaking. By shaping and embracing the quantitative assessment of health risks or the comparative economic analysis of their reduction, the EPA has placed itself in the ambit of these sciences, and of this particular way of understanding the administration of the environment and health, as a way of making rational decisions. Sociologists and philosophers, very often critical of these policy sciences, tend to argue that they are representative of an expanding technoscientific or technocratic ideology. This narrative, however, obscures the contextual and historical constitution of these sciences and of their techniques. They were born in the context of public controversies surrounding technologies and their hazards, as well as policies for managing them. Risk research, it appears, is knowledge formed to respond to public controversies about environmental and health hazards, with a view toward solving them. 1 Risk Sciences: Expertise for DecisionMaking and Dispute
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