Dedong Tang, Chen Li, Xiaohui Ji, Zhenyu Chen, Fangchun Di
{"title":"基于改进LSTM的电力负荷预测","authors":"Dedong Tang, Chen Li, Xiaohui Ji, Zhenyu Chen, Fangchun Di","doi":"10.1145/3318299.3318353","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The power load forecasting is based on historical energy consumption data of a region to forecast the power consumption of the region for a period of time in the future. Accurate forecasting can provide effective and reliable guidance for power construction and grid operation. This paper proposed a power load forecasting approach using a two LSTM (long-short-term memory) layers neural network. Based on the real power load data provided by EUNITE, a power load forecasting method based on LSTM is constructed. Two models, single-point forecasting model and multiple-point forecasting model, are built to forecast the power of next hour and next half day. The experimental results show that the mean absolute percentage error of the single-point forecasting model is 1.806 and the mean absolute percentage error of the multiple-points forecasting model of LSTM network is 2.496.","PeriodicalId":164987,"journal":{"name":"International Conference on Machine Learning and Computing","volume":"28 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2019-02-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"7","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Power Load Forecasting Using a Refined LSTM\",\"authors\":\"Dedong Tang, Chen Li, Xiaohui Ji, Zhenyu Chen, Fangchun Di\",\"doi\":\"10.1145/3318299.3318353\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The power load forecasting is based on historical energy consumption data of a region to forecast the power consumption of the region for a period of time in the future. Accurate forecasting can provide effective and reliable guidance for power construction and grid operation. This paper proposed a power load forecasting approach using a two LSTM (long-short-term memory) layers neural network. Based on the real power load data provided by EUNITE, a power load forecasting method based on LSTM is constructed. Two models, single-point forecasting model and multiple-point forecasting model, are built to forecast the power of next hour and next half day. The experimental results show that the mean absolute percentage error of the single-point forecasting model is 1.806 and the mean absolute percentage error of the multiple-points forecasting model of LSTM network is 2.496.\",\"PeriodicalId\":164987,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International Conference on Machine Learning and Computing\",\"volume\":\"28 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2019-02-22\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"7\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International Conference on Machine Learning and Computing\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1145/3318299.3318353\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Conference on Machine Learning and Computing","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1145/3318299.3318353","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
The power load forecasting is based on historical energy consumption data of a region to forecast the power consumption of the region for a period of time in the future. Accurate forecasting can provide effective and reliable guidance for power construction and grid operation. This paper proposed a power load forecasting approach using a two LSTM (long-short-term memory) layers neural network. Based on the real power load data provided by EUNITE, a power load forecasting method based on LSTM is constructed. Two models, single-point forecasting model and multiple-point forecasting model, are built to forecast the power of next hour and next half day. The experimental results show that the mean absolute percentage error of the single-point forecasting model is 1.806 and the mean absolute percentage error of the multiple-points forecasting model of LSTM network is 2.496.