公共外交与中国对外直接投资:来自非洲的经验证据

Xinjian Ye, Zhuolin Wu, Shuocong Gu, Shikuan Zhao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

公共外交是促进两国之间的政策沟通、民间纽带和外国资产保护的重要因素,但关于公共外交的经济价值的研究很少。利用Python抓取“中国”、“非洲国家”及相关词汇的日搜索频率,构建2011-2019年中非公共外交热指数,并建立双向固定效应模型,考察公共外交对中国在非洲对外直接投资的影响。实证结果表明,公共外交对中国在非洲的对外直接投资具有相当有利的影响,经过一系列稳健性检验,基本结论仍然成立。异质性检验表明,公共外交的投资促进效应在撒哈拉以南非洲地区更为明显,促进机制表现出扶贫和风险规避的特征。此外,随着时间的推移,公共外交对中国对外直接投资的促进作用也越来越大。在影响机制上,公共外交可以通过提高融资能力和改善国家治理来促进对外直接投资。研究结论对推动新时期中非公共外交和投资合作具有政策意义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Public Diplomacy and Chinese OFDI: Empirical Evidence from the Africa
Public diplomacy is a significant factor in promoting policy communication, people-to-people bonds, and the protection of foreign assets between two nations, but there is little research on the economic worth of public diplomacy. Python was used to crawl the daily search frequency of "China", "African countries", and related terms to construct the heat index of China-Africa public diplomacy during 2011-2019, and a two-way fixed effect model was developed to examine the impact of public diplomacy on China’s outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) in Africa. The empirical results show that public diplomacy has a considerable favorable effect on China’s OFDI in Africa, and after a series of robustness tests, the basic conclusion still holds. Heterogeneity tests show the investment promotion effect of public diplomacy is more pronounced in sub-Saharan Africa and that the promotion mechanism exhibits the characteristics of poverty alleviation and risk aversion. In addition, the promotion effect of public diplomacy on China’s OFDI becomes greater as time goes on. In terms of impact mechanisms, public diplomacy may promote OFDI by enhancing financing capacity and improving national governance. The research conclusion has policy implications for promoting China-Africa public diplomacy and investment cooperation in the new era.
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