农业政策制度对尼日利亚粮食作物产量的影响(1980 - 2015)

Agbachom Emmanuel,, Ajigo Ikutal, David Adie Alawa, Onabe Maria,, Ettah Otu,, Regina Ado Anoh,
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摘要

该研究评估了农业政策制度对尼日利亚粮食作物产量的影响(1980-2015年)。具体目标是;确定选定作物产量的增长率。本研究采用时间序列数据。研究中使用的数据来自联合国粮食及农业组织(FAO)尼日利亚作物生产数据库,涵盖1980-2015年期间,并使用描述性和推断性统计进行分析。利用生长模型考察了选定作物产量的变化趋势。研究表明,所有作物的复合增长率均为正;木薯(4.92%)、可可(2.61%)、玉米(5.84%)、棕榈油(2.84%)和大米(4.15%)。这意味着这些年来所选作物的产量有适度的增长。玉米产量的复合增长率最高(5.84% /年),其次是木薯,可可产量较慢,复合增长率为2.61% /年。这一结果表明,在考虑的作物中,玉米的产量正在显著增加。该结果具体得出结论,木薯和大米的产量对尼日利亚1980年至2015年的GDP增长有直接影响。因此,研究报告建议,木薯、可可、玉米和水稻产量增长缓慢的问题可以通过使用改进的推广服务和向参与种植这些作物的农民提供投入支助来改善。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of agricultural policy regimes on the output of food crops in nigeria (1980 – 2015)
The study evaluated the impact of agricultural policy regimes on the output of food crops in Nigeria (1980-2015). The specific objective was to; determine the growth rate of selected crop output. Time series data were used for the study. Data used in the study were obtained from Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO) crop production database for  Nigeria, covering the period 1980-2015, and was analyzed using  both descriptive and inferential statistics. Growth model was used to examine the trend in selected crop output. The study showed that the compound growth rates for all the crops were positive; cassava (4.92%), cocoa (2.61%), maize (5.84%), palm oil (2.84%) and rice (4.15%). This implies that there was a moderate increase in the output of the selected crops over the years. The compound growth rate in the output of maize among the crops considered was highest (5.84 % per annum) followed by cassava and was slow in cocoa with a compound growth rate of 2.61 % per annum. This result suggests that among the crops considered, maize is witnessing appreciable increase in production. The result specifically leads to the conclusion that output of cassava and rice had a direct influence on GDP growth in Nigeria from 1980 to 2015. The study therefore recommends that, the slow process of growth (deceleration) in the output of cassava, cocoa, maize and rice could be enhanced by the use of improved extension services and provision of input supports to the farmers involved in the cultivation of these crops.
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