利用自由现金流转股权和相对估值方法对印尼区域开发银行股票进行估值

R. Hendrawan, Niken Susilowati, F. T. Kristanti
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引用次数: 0

摘要

:印度尼西亚区域开发银行的成立是为了帮助印度尼西亚所有地区实现经济平等,其中大多数银行面临资金有限的问题。本研究的目的是利用FCFE方法确定2018年IDX上市区域开发银行的公允价值,并利用PER和PBV方法验证相对估值方法的结果。本研究的样本为BJBR、BJTM和BEKS。2013年至2017年近5年的财务历史数据,作为2018年至2022年预测的基本参考,涉及悲观、温和和乐观三种情景,价值与2018年1月2日的市场价格进行比较。本研究结果表明,在FCFE估值中,BJBR和BJTM在所有情景下都被高估,而BEKS在所有情景下都被低估。在PER和PBV的相对估值方法中,本研究所有样本的PER和PBV都在行业范围内,意味着计算结果是正确的,除了BEKS的PBV在中等和乐观的情况下并不显著。本研究的结论是建议卖出BJBR和BJTM股票,买入BEKS股票。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Share Valuation of Indonesian Regional Development Bank using Free Cash Flow to Equity and Relative Valuation Methods
: The Indonesian Regional Development Banks established to help economic equality for all regions in Indonesia, and most of them face limited capital. The purpose of this research is to determine the fair value of Listed Regional Development Banks in IDX in 2018, using Discounted Cash Flow with FCFE approach and validate the result using relative valuation methods with PER and PBV approach. The sample of this research are BJBR, BJTM, and BEKS. Financial historical data from the last five years, since 2013 to 2017 as a basic reference for the projection from 2018 to 2022, involving pessimistic, moderate and optimistic scenario and the value is compared with market price on January 2, 2018. Results of this research indicate that using FCFE valuation, BJBR and BJTM has overvalued in all scenarios, while for BEKS has undervalued in all scenarios. In relative valuation method within PER and PBV approach showed PER and PBV of all sample this research is within the industry range means the result of the calculation is proper, except PBV for BEKS in the moderate and optimistic scenario but not significant. The conclusion of this research is to recommend selling shares BJBR and BJTM, and buying BEKS shares.
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