唐纳德·特朗普的推文对美国金融和外汇市场的影响

Constantin Colonescu
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引用次数: 16

摘要

推特是美国总统唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)向追随者传达想法的首选媒体。本项目着眼于唐纳德·特朗普在其总统任期内每日发布的推文对美国金融和外汇市场的影响,以道琼斯工业平均指数(DJI)和一些汇率为代表。使用文本挖掘技术,发现推文内容的各种移动平均窗口长度与DJI指数之间存在一定的相关性。美国和加拿大的综合汇率也受到了一些短期和持久的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Effects of Donald Trump’s Tweets on US Financial and Foreign Exchange Markets
Twitter is the US president’s, Donald Trump, preferred media for communicating his thoughts to his followers. This project looks at the effect of the daily flow of Donald Trump’s tweets on the US financial and foreign exchange markets, represented by the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) index and some exchange rates, over the period of Donald Trump’s ongoing presidency. Using text mining techniques, some correlation is found between various moving average window lengths of tweet content and the DJI index. Some short term and lasting effects are also detected on US-Canada and US composite exchange rates.
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