个人信用风险评估数据挖掘算法比较研究

Hong Yu, Xiaolei Huang, Xiaorong Hu, Hengwen Cai
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引用次数: 26

摘要

个人信用风险评估是金融分析领域中一个重要而富有挑战性的数据挖掘问题。本文通过将四种数据挖掘算法-逻辑回归(LR),决策树(C4.5),支持向量机(SVM)和神经网络(NN)应用于两个信贷数据集,比较了它们的有效性。实验结果表明,LR和SVM算法的分类准确率最高,SVM算法的鲁棒性和泛化能力优于其他算法。相反,在我们的实验中,神经网络算法在两个信用数据集上的表现相对较差。计算机仿真表明,C4.5算法对输入数据敏感,分类精度不稳定,但解释性较好。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Comparative Study on Data Mining Algorithms for Individual Credit Risk Evaluation
Individual credit risk evaluation is an important and challenging data mining problem in financial analysis domain. This paper compares the effectiveness of four data mining algorithms - logistic regression (LR), decision tree (C4.5), support vector machine (SVM) and neural networks (NN) by applying them to two credit data sets. Experiment results show that the LR and SVM algorithms produced the best classification accuracy, and the SVM shows the higher robustness and generalization ability compared to the other algorithms. On the contrary, the neural networks algorithm performed poor relatively on the two credit data sets in our experiments. The computer simulation shows the C4.5 algorithm is sensitive to input data, and the classification accuracy is unstable, but it has the better explanatory.
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