经济增长与粮食安全之间的联系:一个折衷的观点

Asayehgn Desta
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引用次数: 4

摘要

粮食安全和经济增长之间的因果关系尚未完全解决。也就是说,是粮食安全促进经济增长还是经济增长导致粮食安全;或者经济增长和粮食安全之间存在双向因果关系?因果关系尚未查明。借鉴以往的研究和见解,本研究试图找到并理解粮食供应与经济增长之间的关系。对现有二级研究的回顾表明,埃塞俄比亚特有的粮食不安全、粮食摄入量低和粮食获取不稳定并非由于缺乏经济增长和收入分配。相反,除去暂时性的粮食不安全,埃塞俄比亚的长期粮食不安全似乎直接源于通货膨胀压力,这是由货币供应过剩、人口增长、预算赤字、在有利季节不谨慎地解决粮食生产的“供应方面”问题、缺乏足够的粮食储存系统(可用于在动荡时期解决粮食不安全问题)、脆弱的自然资源基础和薄弱的制度造成的。特别是对于政策制定者来说,这项研究的发现有助于了解可能导致粮食不安全状况减少的一些关键因素,并有助于制定缓解埃塞俄比亚粮食不安全状况的预先战略。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
LINKAGES BETWEEN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND FOOD SECURITY: AN ECLECTIC PERSPECTIVE
The causal linkage between food security and economic growth hasn’t been fully resolved. That is, does food security contribute to economic growth or does economic growth result in food security; or is there a two-way causal relationship between economic growth and food security? The causality has not yet been ascertained. Drawing on previous research and insights, this study attempted to find and understand the relationship between food availability and economic growth. A review of existing secondary studies indicates that food insecurity, low food intake and the variable access to food endemic in Ethiopia, is not due to the lack of economic growth and income distribution. Rather, excluding transitory food insecurity, chronic food insecurity in Ethiopia seems to derive directly from inflationary pressures, resulting from excess in the money supply, population growth, budgetary deficits, imprudently addressing the “supply side” of food production during favorable seasons, the lack of adequate storage systems for stocking food items that could be used to tackle food insecurity during shocking periods, a fragile natural resource base, and weak institutions. Particularly for policy makers, the study’s findings contribute to an understanding of some of the crucial factors that could lead to a reduction of food insecurity and help to design advance strategies to alleviate food insecurity in Ethiopia.
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