碰撞的世界:老龄化的劳动力、人工智能以及对未来工作的影响

R. McGowan, Natalie Corrado
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引用次数: 1

摘要

我们的工作正在迅速变化。无数的变化正在影响着我们的生活、工作和退休方式:快速全球化;中产阶级人口的增长;性别、多样性和包容性问题;老化;技术;以及零工经济中的新工作方式。然而,有两种趋势在其范围上是前所未有的:广泛的社会老龄化和智能技术的工作自动化。世界各地预期寿命的延长和出生率的下降意味着许多主要国家的劳动年龄人口正在减少。在日本,预计到2030年,50 - 64岁的劳动年龄人口比例将达到38%,而在英国,唯一增长的劳动力是50岁以上的人群。自动化的速度和规模也在增加,机器学习的进步影响着世界的运作方式和劳动力所需的技能。这两种趋势的融合将对未来的工作产生深远的影响,特别是对老年工作人口。随着自动化越来越多地使生产力达到前所未有的水平,组织投资新收入流和新经济的能力将扩大。随着年轻人口的减少,投资于年轻员工将变得越来越困难,但在老龄化国家,老年员工越来越愿意并能够从事有意义的工作。65岁退休、彻底退出劳动力市场的想法不再是现实。几个显著的社会经济趋势正在发挥作用,使老年员工更愿意和更有能力工作:
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Colliding Worlds: An Aging Workforce, Artificial Intelligence, and the Impact on the Future of Work
we work is changing rapidly. A myriad of changes are impacting the way we live, work, and retire: rapid globalization; the growth of middle-class populations; issues of gender, diversity, and inclusion; aging; technology; and new ways of working in the gig economy. Two trends, however, are unprecedented in their scope: widespread societal aging and the automation of work by intelligent technologies. Increased life expectancies and decreasing birth rates across the world mean working-age populations are shrinking in many major countries. In Japan, the proportion of the working-age population ages 50–64 is expected to reach 38 percent by 2030, while in the United Kingdom, the only growing labor pool is among those over 50. The rate and scale of automation is also increasing, with advances in machine learning impacting the way the world works and the skills required in the workforce. The confluence of these two trends will have a profound impact on the future of work, particularly for older working populations. As automation increasingly enables unprecedented levels of productivity, the capacity of organizations to invest in new revenue streams and new economies will expand. Investing in younger workers will become increasingly difficult as young populations shrink, but older workers in aging nations are increasingly willing and able to engage in meaningful work. The idea of retiring at 65 and completely exiting the workforce is no longer our reality. Several notable socioeconomic trends are at play making older workers more willing and able to work:
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