全球稳定的达摩克利斯之剑

Miloš Todorović, Milan Kalinović
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的主题是乌克兰危机的起因和后果。两个斯拉夫民族之间的武装冲突是俄罗斯和美国之间几十年关系进程的悲剧性结局。尽管做出了承诺,但北约向东扩张却永久性地加剧了这两个主要军事大国之间的冲突。本研究的目的是发现导致武装行动的冲突的本质和原因,以及当前地缘政治进程的理论基础。麦金德和斯派克曼的著作中所包含的西方地缘政治概念,对盎格鲁-撒克逊地缘政治的野心和战略目标提供了一种解释,这种抱负和战略目标自19世纪以来一直没有改变。基本假设是,乌克兰危机背后是地缘政治主导力量的长期经济目标。乌克兰的地缘政治地位自独立以来一直在东西方之间徘徊,其演变是按时间顺序进行的。与俄罗斯关系的永久恶化最终将导致武装冲突。影响最大的将是乌克兰,但受到前所未有制裁的俄罗斯也会受到影响。然而,欧盟(eu)也会受到影响,因为欧盟失去了俄罗斯的能源和原材料,世界稳定也会受到影响,全球经济的整体增长率也会大幅下降。自第二次世界大战以来最严重的政治、经济和军事危机的解决方案将在美国和俄罗斯达成一致后达成,无论是否有乌克兰的参与。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The sword of Damocles in global stability
The subject of this paper is the causes and consequences of the Ukrainian crisis. The armed conflict between the two Slavic peoples is a tragic epilogue of decades of processes in the relations between Russia and the United States. NATO's expansion to the east, despite the promises made, has permanently exacerbated the conflict between the two leading military powers. The aim of this research is to discover the essence and cause of the conflict that led to armed actions as well as the theoretical foundation of current geopolitical processes. The concepts of Western geopoliticians, contained in the works of Mackinder and Spikeman, offer an explanation of the ambitions and strategic goals of Anglo-Saxon geopolitics that have not changed since the 19th century. The basic hypothesis is that the long-term economic goals of the dominant geopolitical forces lie behind the Ukrainian crisis. The evolution of Ukraine's geopolitical position, which has been torn between East and West since independence, has been followed chronologically. The permanent deterioration of relations with Russia will eventually lead to an armed conflict. The consequences will be felt most by Ukraine but also by Russia, on which unprecedented sanctions have been imposed. However, there will also be consequences for the European Union, which is deprived of Russian energy and raw materials, world stability, and the overall world economy, which is significantly lowering growth rates. The solution to the deepest political, economic, and military crisis since the Second World War will be reached when the United States and Russia agree on it, with or without the participation of Ukraine.
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