使用地理哈希进行人口预测的机器学习方法

Avipsa Roy, E. Pebesma
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引用次数: 9

摘要

随着智能手机的迅速普及,人类通过携带具有gps功能的设备来共享位置数据,从而充当了社交传感器的角色。这导致在很长一段时间内收集了大量的传感器数据。从几个不同来源积累的如此大量的时空数据中获得有意义的见解,对组织来说通常是一个挑战。电信供应商确定移动电话用户的人口统计数据就是这样一个例子。通过了解用户的移动模式,人口统计信息在将在线广告定向到重点用户群体方面发挥着非常重要的作用。然而,在实践中,由于隐私问题,年龄和性别等人口统计信息大多无法对应用程序开发者开放获取。在本文中,我们试图解决如何用人口统计数据丰富位置数据的问题,这对应用开发者来说可能是有价值的。在我们的研究中,我们使用机器学习方法,使用基于地理哈希概念的预测模型,从一组3,252,950个匿名GPS轨迹和60,865个独特设备中预测手机用户的性别和年龄。我们研究了用户的人口统计数据在多大程度上可以从他们经常访问的地点推断出来,通过制定一个多层次分类算法来找到最经常访问的地理散列,并将它们与最近的兴趣点相关联,这将能够预测用户的年龄和性别,他们喜欢以顺序的方式访问特定的地点。实验是在一个由电信供应商收集和共享的真实移动电话用户数据集上进行的。实验结果表明,该算法对用户性别和年龄组的平均预测准确率分别达到71.62%和96.75%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Machine Learning Approach to Demographic Prediction using Geohashes
With the rapid proliferation of smartphones, human beings act as social sensors by means of carrying GPS-enabled devices that share location data. This has resulted in an abundance of sensor data gathered over long periods of time. Gaining meaningful insights from such massive amounts of spatio-temporal data accumulated by several disparate sources is often a challenge for organizations. Identifying demographics of mobile phone users by telecommunication providers is one such example. Demographic information plays a very significant role in targeting online advertisements to focused user groups by gaining insights about userfis mobility patterns. However, in practice, demographic information such as age and gender are mostly unavailable to app developers for open access due to privacy concerns. In this paper, we try to address the gap of how to enrich location data with demographics, which could be valuable for app developers. In our study, we use a machine learning approach to predict the gender and age of mobile phone users from a set of 3,252,950 anonymised GPS trajectories with 60,865 unique devices using a predictive model which is based upon the concept of Geohashes. We study to what extent usersfi demographics could be inferred from their frequently visited locations by encoding by formulating a multi-level classification algorithm to find the most frequently visited Geohashes and associating them with nearest points of interests which would enable predicting age-group and gender of the users who prefer to visit a specific location in a sequential manner. Experiments are conducted on a real dataset of mobile phone users collected and shared by a telecommunication provider. Th The experimental results show that the proposed algorithm can achieve mean prediction accuracy scores of 71.62% and 96.75% for predicting gender and age groups of the users respectively.
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