在COVID-19大流行的情况下,乌克兰中期预算规划的具体情况

T. Koliada, Iryna Hoch
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文致力于揭示乌克兰在冠状病毒大流行条件下中期预算规划的特点,并提出改进建议。通过对未来三年预测预算指标动态的研究,证明了中期预算规划应被视为一种预防措施,以避免未来不合理的政府支出对国家经济发展速度和人民福祉水平产生不利影响。与此同时,未来几年的预算收入和支出指标只是政府根据经济趋势并考虑到新出现的各种影响因素,在《预算声明》中定期澄清的预测。随着新冠肺炎疫情的蔓延,乌克兰对预算政策的形成和实施过程进行了调整。事实证明,没有立法批准的国家发展战略计划,包括在公共财政领域的战略计划,是在实现既定目标方面进展缓慢的原因之一。在乌克兰目前的发展阶段,预算领域存在一个预算年度无法解决的长期财政挑战,这迫使政府转向中期预算主导,以有效管理预算资源。通过这项研究,确定了乌克兰在克服COVID-19蔓延后果的必要性方面面临的内部和外部挑战,需要重点确保严格遵守制定国家预算的既定期限、标准和程序,并确定中期预算规划的紧急目标。在这方面进一步研究的前景是证明在乌克兰实行长期预算规划或将中期预算规划的时间范围延长到五年的必要性,这应以国家基本法或乌克兰预算法的有关法律规定为基础。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
SPECIFIC OF MEDIUM-TERM BUDGET PLANNING IN UKRAINE IN THE CONDITIONS OF THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC
The article is devoted to revealing the peculiarities of medium-term budget planning in Ukraine in the conditions of the coronavirus pandemic and the development of proposals for its improvement. Based on the study of the dynamics of forecast budget indicators on the three-year time horizon, it was proved that medium-term budget planning should be considered as a kind of precaution to avoid unreasonable future government spending, which can adversely affect the pace of economic development and the level of well-being of the population of the country. At the same time, the indicators of revenues and expenditures of the budget for the next years are only a forecast that is periodically clarified in the Budget Declaration by the government in accordance with the trends in the economy and taking into account the emerging various factors of influence. With the spread of COVID-19, adjustments were made to the process of formation and implementation of Ukraine’s budget policy. It is proved that the absence of a legislatively approved strategic plan for the development of the country, including in the sphere of public finances, is one of the reasons for moderate progress in achieving the defined goals. At the present stage of Ukraine’s development, there are long-term financial challenges in the budget sphere that cannot be solved within one budget year, which forces the government to move to medium-term budgetary domination for effective management of budget resources. As a result of the study, the internal and external challenges faced by Ukraine in connection with the need to overcome the consequences of the spread of COVID-19 were identified, the need to focus on ensuring strict compliance with the already established deadlines, criteria and procedures in the formation of the state budget and defining urgent goals of medium-term budget planning. The prospect of further research in this direction is to prove the need to introduce long-term budget planning in Ukraine or to extend the time horizon of medium-term budget planning to a five-year period, which should be based on the relevant legal provision of the Basic Law of the State or the Budget Code of Ukraine.
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