利用响应面建模调整状态方程以确定初始流体成分的创新方法

U. Aslam, Dalia Martinez Cruz, Luis Hernando Perez Cardenas, Alfredo Leon Garcia, Christian Ramírez Ramírez
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引用次数: 2

摘要

现代三次状态方程(EOS)用于描述储层流体在不同压力、温度和流体成分下的相行为和体积预测。这些方程需要对测量的实验室数据进行校准才能进行可靠的预测。典型的技术使用线性回归或梯度下降方法来校准EOS到测量数据。这导致一个单一的解决方案,而这样的校准是一个反问题与非唯一的解决方案。此外,这些校准技术仅限于已知初始流体成分的情况。响应面建模加速贝叶斯推理,也称为代理建模,是一种常用的技术,用于校准地下模型与历史生产数据。本文扩展了代理建模方法的应用,在确定多组分烃混合物初始流体成分的同时,对EOS进行了回归。通过将该技术应用于基于墨西哥湾某油田黑油液样本的PVT模型,验证了该技术的可行性。流体样品的初始流体组成未知,但通过CCE (Constant composition Experiment)和DLE (Differential Liberation Experiment)两个PVT实验对样品进行了表征。PVT模型初始参数化采用具有先验分布的不确定输入参数。在PVT模型中,使用典型黑油液样品的流体成分作为初始猜测。利用参数化PVT模型创建初始代理模型,以减少模拟PVT数据与用户选择的测量PVT数据之间的不匹配。采用拉丁超立方体(LHC)采样、遗传算法和梯度优化的序贯设计算法对代理模型进行不断改进。这种顺序设计确保在探索可能的PVT模型的整个解决方案空间时,找到具有可接受精度的多个校准PVT模型。此外,所提出的技术有助于确定传统回归方法所缺乏的初始流体成分。结果表明,与传统方法相比,该方法模拟的PVT数据与实测数据的不匹配程度明显降低。利用代理模型生成的PVT模型的先验和后验集合比较表明,各组分的摩尔分数逐渐收敛于单个值,相位包络线的不确定性显著降低。我们所提出的技术中使用的代理模型提供了一种鲁棒的最小化方法,该方法可以选择并处理最重要的EOS参数,从而减轻了回归参数选择的繁琐和耗时的过程。可以在回归过程中引入新的回归参数,并且调整后的参数总是在合理的物理限制内,因为它们是从用户定义的先验分布中采样的。与传统的PVT回归方法不同,所提出的方法没有限制在回归过程中可以改变的不确定参数的数量。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An Innovative Approach to Determine Initial Fluid Composition by Tuning an Equation-of-State to Experimental Data Using Response Surface Modeling
Modern cubic Equations-of-State (EOS) are used to describe reservoir fluid phase-behavior and for volumetric prediction under varying pressure, temperature, and fluid composition. These equations require calibration to the measured laboratory data for reliable prediction. Typical techniques use linear regression or gradient descent methods to calibrate an EOS to measured data. This results in a single solution, whereas such calibration is an inverse problem with a non-unique solution. In addition, these calibration techniques are limited to cases where the initial fluid composition is known. Bayesian inference accelerated by response surface modeling, also termed proxy modeling, is a technique commonly used to calibrate subsurface models to historical production data. This paper extends the application of a proxy modeling approach to regressing an EOS while simultaneously determining the initial fluid composition of a multi-component hydrocarbon mixture. The proposed technique is demonstrated through its application to a PVT model based on a black-oil fluid sample obtained from an oil field in the Gulf of Mexico. The initial fluid composition of the fluid sample was unknown, but the sample was characterized using two PVT experiments including CCE (Constant Composition Experiment) and DLE (Differential Liberation Experiment). The PVT model was initially parametrized by uncertain input parameters with prior distributions. The fluid composition of a typical black-oil fluid sample was used as an initial guess in the PVT model. An initial proxy model was created using the parametrized PVT model with the objective of reducing the mismatch between simulated and user-selected measured PVT data. The proxy model was continuously improved using a sequential design algorithm which involves Latin Hypercube (LHC) sampling, genetic algorithm followed by the gradient optimization. This sequential design ensures that multiple calibrated PVT models with an acceptable degree of accuracy are found while exploring the entire solution space of possible PVT models. In addition, the proposed technique helps determine the initial fluid composition which traditional regression approaches lack. Results show that the mismatch between the simulated and the measured PVT data is significantly less than using traditional approaches. Comparison of prior versus posterior ensembles of PVT models generated using the proxy model reveals that the mole fractions of various components gradually converge to a single value and the uncertainty in the phase envelope is significantly reduced. The proxy model used in our proposed technique provides a robust minimization method which chooses and works with most significant EOS parameters, alleviating the tedious and time-consuming process of regression parameters selection. New regression parameters can be introduced midway during regression and the tuned parameters are always within reasonable physical limits since they are sampled from the user-defined prior distribution. Unlike traditional approaches for PVT regression, the proposed approach does not place a limit on the number of uncertain parameters that can be changed during regression.
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