可持续自然管理财政支持的经济安全建模

Sergiy Petruha, M. Korolenko
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究将银行部门整体运作的经济安全、银行(国有和商业)在基金市场的活动和可持续自然管理的金融支持之间的相互影响和联系系统化,同时考虑到银行战略“贯穿”联合国到2030年的可持续发展目标,既包括银行自身的活动(给出了具体例子),也包括国民经济自然资源部门的市场代理人之一。金融信贷机构在考虑全球生态倡议的可持续自然管理和综合发展的世界中充当特定的金融提供者。在“绿色经济”和“金融全球化”这两个相反但又互补的概念中,超国家和国家监管机构的目标设定有相似之处,期望不可预测性的动力和全球金融稳定的惯性缺乏对经济动态的生态影响稳定性的影响。利用特殊的方法和程序环境Eviews和Statistica,构建了“银行业金融安全-金融支持稳定性-自然管理可持续性”三元组对公司股权和债券发行变量的相应计量经济依赖模型。研究发现,债券市场和股票市场对经济动态变化的反应不同,股票发行量与公司债券发行不同,不依赖于自然经营可持续性指标,其金融支持稳定性不属于金融-经济参数化范畴,而属于政治环境。在经济主体准备开展生态和社会责任业务的方向上的社会心理和心理转变,这需要安全银行战略的目的取向现代化,他们采取相应的抗危机安排,以在COVID-19大流行影响加剧的情况下为其在基金市场的活动提供安全保障。所获得的建模结果可由乌克兰国家银行用于实施宏观审慎政策,旨在通过理性自然管理的金融刺激系统消除系统风险以防止危机或减少危机造成的损失。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Modeling of Economic Safety of Sustainable Nature Management Financial Support
The study systematizes mutual influences and connections of the economic safety of bank sector functioning as a whole, bank activity (state and commercial) at the fund market and financial support of sustainable nature management, taking into account bank strategies “threading” by Sustainable development aims of UNO till 2030 of both own activity (concrete examples are given) and one of market agents of the nature-resource sector of the national economy, for which a financial-credit institution acts as a specific financial provider in the world of sustainable nature management and comprehensive development, taking into account the global ecologic initiative. There are given parallels in aim setting of supranational and national regulators in two opposite and at the same time complementary conceptions: “green economy” and “financial globalism”, expecting dynamism of unpredictability and inertia of global financial stability absence on the ecologically influenced stability of the economic dynamics. There are constructed correspondent econometric dependence models of a triad “financial safety of the bank sector – financial support stability – nature management sustainability” on variables – corporative equity and bond issue, using special methods and program environment Eviews and Statistica. It has been revealed, that the market of bonds and the one of equities differently react on changes of the economic dynamics – the equity issue volume, as opposite to corporative bond issue, doesn’t depend on nature management sustainability indices, and its financial support stability is not in the sphere of financial-economic parametrization, but in the political conjuncture, socio-psychological and mental transformation in the direction of economic subjects’ readiness to conducting ecologically and at the same time socially responsible business that needs modernization of the purpose orientation of safe bank strategies, taking correspondent anti-crisis arrangements by them for providing safety of their activity at the fund market under conditions of intensification of the COVID-19 pandemic influence. Obtained modeling results may be used by the National bank of Ukraine for actualizing the macroprudential policy, directed on elimination of system risks for preventing crises or diminution of losses from them by the system of financial stimulation of rational nature management.
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