利用Altman Z-Score方法预测公司财务危机的可能性

N. L. E. Utami, I. Sudana, L. Wahyuni
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引用次数: 0

摘要

识别公司潜在的财务困境是预测公司财务健康状况的重要一步。财务困难的情况可能发生在公司破产之前,其标志是公司财务状况的下降。为了应对这些情况,预计该公司将能够通过分析财务比率来制定预测破产发生的战略。本研究旨在通过财务比率计算、分析和分类PT Bali Kulina Utama的财务困境潜力,使用的预测模型是Altman Z-Score修正方法。通过访谈和文献资料收集技术获得的一手和二手数据。数据分析技术是描述性定性的,通过计算Altman Z-Score修正模型中包含的每个财务比率并计算Z-Score修正方程来预测财务困境状况。综上所示,由于Z-Score修正方程值在Z′-Score > 2,6,可以得出巴厘岛库利纳乌塔玛PT公司2018-2020年财务困境的潜在风险处于非财务困境状态。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Financial Ratio Analysis to Predict The Potential of The Company’s Financial Distress With Altman Z-Score Method at PT Bali Kulina Utama
Identification of potential financial distress in a company is an important step in predicting the company’s financial health condition. Financial distress conditions can occur before the company goes bankrupt which is marked by a decline in company finances. To deal with these conditions, the company is expected to be able to prepare a strategy to anticipate the occurrence of bankruptcy by analyzing financial ratios. This study aims to calculate, analyze, and classify the potential of financial distress at PT Bali Kulina Utama through financial ratios with the prediction model used is Altman Z-Score Modification method. Primary and secondary data obtained through interviews and documentation data collection techniques. The data analysis technique is descriptive qualitative by calculating each financial ratio that contained in the Altman Z-Score Modification model and calculating the Z-Score Modification equation to predict financial distress position. Based on the results, it can be concluded that the potential of financial distress at PT Bali Kulina Utama in 2018-2020 is in a non financial distress condition, because the Z-Score Modification equation value is in Z”-Score > 2,6.
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