全球政治紧张背景下的拉丁美洲和中亚:民粹主义与两极分化

A. Kulumzhanova, A. Ospanova
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文分析了拉美和中亚政体的起源、民粹主义浪潮时期拉美的两极分化及其对中亚国家的影响。在20世纪,各国尖锐地经历了两波民粹主义浪潮,这两波民粹主义浪潮与权力更迭的政治转型历史时期相吻合,即从寡头政治向大众政治、从专制政体向民主政体的转型,这两波民粹主义浪潮随后为新自由主义改革创造了坚实的基础。文章指出了左翼民粹主义政权及其反精英主义倾向,并分析了在新冠疫情的影响下,弱制度化、阶级取向和左翼民粹主义的高度两极化最终将导致制度危机,破坏和失去平衡,未来将直接转向竞争威权主义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The LATIN AMERICA AND CENTRAL ASIA IN THE CONTEXT OF GLOBAL POLITICAL TENSIONS: POPULISM AND POLARIZATION
The article analyzes the genesis of political regimes in Latin America and Central Asia, the Latin-American polarization during the period of waves of populism and its impact to Central Asian countries. In the twentieth century, the countries acutely experienced two waves of populism, which coincided with the historical periods of political transitions of the change of power, namely, the transition from oligarchy to mass politics, from authoritarian regimes to democracy, which subsequently created the solid ground for neoliberal reforms. The article notes the left-populist regimes and their anti-elitist orientation, and also analyzes that weak institutionalization, class orientation and a high level of polarization of left-wing populism after the consequences of COVID-19 will finally lead to an institutional crisis, a violation and lose of the balances and a straight shift to competitive authoritarianism in the future.
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