葡萄酒消费决定因素在阿尔巴尼亚使用分类回归模型

I. Kapaj, Albana Gjoni, Sadik Maloku, A. Kapaj
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引用次数: 0

摘要

阿尔巴尼亚葡萄酒消费的增长趋势带动了各自分部门、葡萄栽培和葡萄酒工业的发展。为了使国内葡萄酒生产行业具有竞争力,详细了解消费者的购买行为是先决条件。为此,本研究提供了地拉那地区葡萄酒消费者消费行为的实际视角。本文的目标之一是通过使用非数字响应变量的回归模型“分类回归估计”来识别和量化葡萄酒消费的决定因素。为此目的设计了一份调查表,它以文献为基础,但也以对该国顾客概况的认识为基础,并考虑到若干社会经济因素。通过230个面对面访谈,目的是评估收入、年龄、教育、宗教、营养文化、葡萄酒价格、葡萄酒产地以及其他与消费者形象相关的社会人口因素对葡萄酒消费的影响。对结果的分析和解释揭示了决定葡萄酒消费的有趣因素。年龄、受教育程度、收入水平和葡萄酒价格是影响消费者购买葡萄酒的主要因素。年龄较大的人(40岁以上)购买葡萄酒的意愿是年轻人的1.4倍。同时,高收入人群购买葡萄酒的几率比低收入人群高2.15。从结果来看,教育程度对葡萄酒消费有积极影响,而性别对葡萄酒消费没有显著影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Wine Consumption Determinants in Albania Using Categorical Regression Model
The increasing trend of wine consumption in Albania has led the development of the respective subsectors, viticulture and the wine industry. In the order for the domestic wine production industry to be competitive, a detailed understanding of the consumer’s buying behavior is a prerequisite. To this end, this study offers an actual perspective of the consumption behavior of wine customers in Tirana region. One of the goals of this paper is to identify and quantify determinants of wine consumption by using a regression model called “Categorical Regression Estimation” for non-numeric response variables. A questionnaire has been designed for this purpose, which is based on the literature but also on the recognition of the customer profile in the country, considering several socio-economic factors. Through 230 face-to-face interviews, the aim is to evaluate the impact on wine consumption of income, age, education, religion, nutrition culture, wine prices, wine origin as well as other socio-demographic factors related to the profile of the consumer. The analysis and interpretation of the results reveal interesting factors that determine the wine consumption. Age, education, income level and price of the wine are the main factors affecting the consumer decision to buy wine. Older people (over 40 years old) represent 1.4 times higher willingness to buy wine relatively to the younger people. Meanwhile, among people with higher income level chances that they will buy wine are 2.15 higher relatively to the people with lower monthly income level. From the results appears that education have positive impact on wine consumption while gender does not represent a significant difference.
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