对阿罗定理的常识性评价

G. Ortona
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引用次数: 0

摘要

通常对阿罗的一般可能性定理(教科书中通常是“不可能”)的悲观解释是过度的。阿罗所定义的不可能性只有在平局或循环存在的情况下才会发生。这些病例罕见或非常罕见,可事后评估其是否存在。如果出现这种情况,就有必要求助于次优规则,但这种两阶段的程序不会诱发战略行为,也不会反对孔多塞规则(在遵守公理的情况下)在所有其他规则中的使用。本文的结论支持在政府事业单位实施现代管理制度应处理不同于以往在公司所知的行为。在这方面,本文强调了公司和事业单位行为的不同之处,承认组织结构和内部程序的相似性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A commonsense assessment of Arrow’s theorem
Abstract The usual, pessimistic interpretation of Arrow’s General Possibility Theorem (often “Impossibility” in textbooks) is excessive. The impossibility defined by Arrow occurs only in presence of a tie or of a cycle. These cases are rare or very rare, and their presence may be assessed ex post. If they occur it is necessary to resort to a second-best rule, but this two-stage procedure does not induce strategic behavior, nor impeaches the use of the Condorcet rule (in observance of the axioms) in all the others. The paper conclusions sustain that implementation of modern management systems to government’s public institutions should deal with a different behavior used to know at companies. In this respect, the paper high-lights different aspects between companies and public institutions behavior admitting similarities on organizational structure and internal procedures.
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