基于外贸统计数据镜像比较法的国际海关互动效果评价

A. A. Lisitsa
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摘要

改善俄罗斯联邦海关管理的大多数战略方向,由于其特殊性,涉及与外国海关当局的互动。本文讨论了评估作为俄罗斯海关服务活动子类型的州际海关互动有效性的方法。问题的紧迫性在于,州际海关互动的基础是尽可能减少可能的海关风险的原则。与此同时,用于评价海关当局活动的现有指标系统并没有反映在管理这些风险方面相互作用的有效性。本研究的目的是考虑一种过程方法来评估供应链管理概念下海关合作的有效性。这种办法不是分析一个单独的国家海关管理机构的活动,而是评估各国在已缔结的关于海关领域合作的协定的范围内的综合行动。根据作者的说法,跨境供应链的效率可能会有所不同,这取决于其中各国海关管理部门的行为类型。本研究的任务是通过比较进出口交易的“镜像”数据,分析中俄海关相互贸易统计指标,将差异趋势推断为中俄海关合作发展的动态,找出影响镜像数据差距的因素。所获得的结果表明,尽管“镜像”海关统计数据中差异的原因相当明确和稳定,但它们的构成和影响程度在每个时期都是不同的,这反映了俄罗斯和中国海关管理部门之间的互动程度。为了验证本文提出的方法,本文以俄罗斯远东地区与中国海关重点合作项目开发为背景,分析了中俄双边贸易区域“镜像”统计的偏差趋势。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Evaluation of the international customs interaction effectiveness by the mirror comparison method of statistical data on foreign trade
Most of the strategic directions for improving customs administration in the Russian Federation, due to their specifics, involve interaction with the customs authorities of foreign states. The article discusses approaches to assessing the effectiveness of interstate customs interaction as a sub-type of the Russian customs service activity. The urgency of the problem lies in the fact that the basis of interstate customs interaction is the principle of minimizing possible customs risks. At the same time, the existing system of indicators used to evaluate the activities of customs authorities does not reflect the effectiveness of interaction in terms of the administration of these risks. The purpose of the study is to consider a process approach to assessing the effectiveness of customs cooperation in the concept of supply chain management. This approach involves an analysis of the activities of not a separate national customs administration, but an assessment of the integration of the actions of states in the context of concluded agreements on cooperation in the field of customs. A cross-border supply chain, according to the author, can have varying degrees of efficiency depending on the type of behavior of national customs administrations within it. The task of the study is to analyze the indicators of Russian and Chinese customs statistics of mutual trade by comparing “mirror” data on export-import transactions, extrapolating the trend of discrepancies to the dynamics of the development of customs cooperation between Russia and China, identifying elements that affect the gaps in mirror data. The results obtained suggest that, given a fairly definite and stable list of reasons for the discrepancies in the data of “mirror” customs statistics, their composition and degree of impact are different in each period of time and are a reflection of the level of interaction between the customs administrations of Russia and China. To verify the proposed approach, the trend of deviations of regional “mirror” statistics of bilateral trade between China and Russia is analyzed in the context of the cooperation key projects development between the Russian Far East and China customs administrations.
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