有效市场假说研究:来自一个新兴市场的证据

A. Saeedi, Seyed Reza Miraskari, Mehrdad Sadr Ara
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引用次数: 5

摘要

本研究考察了市场规制变化后伊朗资本市场的弱形式效率。2005年之后发生的一些事件从根本上改变了伊朗资本市场的环境,我们期望这些改革能够提高市场效率。因此,本研究利用自相关、增强的Dickey-Fuller对德黑兰证券交易所(TSE)的日收益行为进行了检验,并在2005-2010年期间进行了测试。所有测试的结果都不支持TSE的日收益遵循随机游走。因此,我们得出结论,利用技术技能获得异常收益是可能的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Investigation of Efficient Market Hypothesis: Evidence from an Emerging Market
This study examines the weak-form efficiency of Iranian capital market, after the changes in the market regulations. Some events after 2005 have fundamentally changed the environment of the Iranian capital market, and we expect those reforms to increase the market efficiency. Therefore, this research examines the daily returns behavior in Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE) utilizing autocorrelation, augmented Dickey-Fuller, and runs tests over the period of 2005-2010. The results of all tests do not support that TSE daily returns follow a random walk. Therefore, we conclude that it is possible to use the technical skills to attain the abnormal gains.
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