基于蒙特卡罗算法的远程咨询持续监测预测和降低2型糖尿病并发症的风险水平

H. Nieto-Chaupis
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们提出了一个基于计算机的电子健康系统,旨在提供远程会诊,以减少主要在30至60岁之间的成人糖尿病并发症。远程会诊系统的软件基本上基于概率,完全基于蒙特卡罗技术,其主要理念是:接受或拒绝。这种随机计算方法得到数学模型的支持,该数学模型是通过获得的数据和经验建立的,使我们能够在一定的统计误差内对葡萄糖值进行建模和预测。这个电子健康系统背后的想法是快速识别那些有潜在风险的人,及时获得由高葡萄糖值引起的并发症。基于计算机的研究得出的结论是,通过使用简单的移动电话和最少的软件应用程序,远程咨询的适时干预可能会减轻和改善糖尿病的治疗。我们通过对糖尿病患者的模拟说明了这种远程医疗系统的预期实施,并展示了这些电子健康系统旨在改善中长期生活质量的预期作用。从综合样本来看,4名糖尿病患者中的3名可能会在拟议的电子健康系统的持续帮助下控制血糖值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Continuous Surveillance By Tele-consults Based on Monte Carlo Algorithms to Anticipate and Lessen Risk Levels Due to Type-2 Diabetes Complications
We present a computer-based eHealth system expected to provide tele-consults aimed to reduce complications due to the diabetes disease in adult population mainly between 30 and 60 years old. The software of the tele-consultations system which is essentially based in probabilities and entirely based in the Monte Carlo technology whose main philosophy: accept or reject, This stochastic computing method is supported with a mathematical model which is build through acquired data and experience that allows us to model and carry out predictions on the glucose’s values in time within a certain statistical error. The idea behind of this eHealth system is the rapid identification of those people with a potential risk to acquire complications derived from the high values of glucose in time. The conclusion derived from this computer-based study is that of the opportune intervention derived from the tele-consultations might alleviate and to improve the diabetes treatment by employing simple mobile phones and minimal software applications. We illustrated the prospective implementation of this tele-care system with simulations for people with an old diagnosis of diabetes and demonstrating the prospective role o these eHealth systems aimed to improve the quality of life in the middle and long term. From a combined sample 3 from 4 diabetes patients might be keeping under control their glucose’s values with a continuous assistance of the proposed eHealth system.
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