1933-1938年德国的创造工作、重整军备、公共和私人投资:对就业和生产影响的投入产出分析

R. Fremdling, R. Stäglin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

从经验上看,我们运用德国1936年的投入产出表来评估20世纪30年代德国创造就业、重整军备、公共和私人投资对就业和生产的影响。我们的分析框架将凯恩斯乘数整合到莱昂惕夫的传统模型中。当然,人们可以推测,即使没有希特勒的经济政策,纳粹的崛起是否也会发生。然而,根据我们的重新评估,我们可以有把握地宣称,这些计划是早在1936年就创造充分就业的充分条件。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Work Creation, Rearmament, Public and Private Investment in Germany 1933–1938: An Input-Output Analysis of their Impact on Employment and Production
Abstract Empirically, we apply the input-output table of Germany for the benchmark year of 1936 to assess the impact of work creation, rearmament, public and private investment on employment and production in Germany during the 1930s. Our analytical framework integrates the Keynesian multiplier into Leontief’s traditional model. Of course one can speculate about the counterfactual scenario of whether or not the NS-upswing would have taken place even without Hitler’s economic policy. On basis of our reassessment we can safely claim, however, that these programmes were a sufficient condition to create full employment as early as 1936.
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