被动、进取还是创新?受制裁影响公司的调整策略*

B. Stępień, P. Weber
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引用次数: 2

摘要

制裁有效的可能性增加,不仅是因为制裁对目标国家经济的严重程度,而且也是制裁国企业遵守制裁原则的一个函数。避免制裁和增加对目标国家的投资(许多面临欧盟(EU) 2014年对俄罗斯实施制裁的公司观察到的行为)减轻了这些限制性措施的影响。在本章中,我们(通过分析受欧盟对俄罗斯制裁影响的欧盟企业的适应战略)展示了特定类型的战略如何影响制裁的有效性,以及哪些因素决定了它们各自行为的选择。我们对英国、法国、德国、意大利和波兰的企业进行了1000多份在线调查,得出了我们的结论。我们发现,虽然行政负担使遵守制裁的可能性更大,但目标国家的市场依赖性和无形资产引发了挑战制裁政策的战略。我们得出结论,欧盟-俄罗斯制裁争端激励欧洲公司增加在俄罗斯的参与。这些所谓的挑衅战略削弱了制裁的实际经济影响,并产生了一种新的平衡,这种平衡比取消这些限制措施还要持久,并具有消极的长期政治影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Passive, Aggressive or Creative? Adjustment Strategies of Companies Affected by Sanctions*
The probability of sanctions’ effectiveness increases not only due to their severity for the target country’s economy but is also a function of adherence to their principles by enterprises from senders’ countries. Sanctions avoidance and increasing investments in the target country (the observed behavior of many companies facing the European Union (EU) sanctions against Russia which were imposed in 2014) mitigate the impact of these restrictive measures. In this chapter we show (by analyzing adaptation strategies of EU enterprises affected by sanctions imposed on Russia by EU) how particular types of strategies affect the effectiveness of sanctions and what factors determine the choice of their respective behavior. We draw our conclusions from the online survey of more than 1,000 responses from British, French, German, Italian, and Polish enterprises. We find that while administrative burdens make conformance to sanctions more likely, market dependency and non-tangible assets in the target country induce strategies that challenge sanction policies. We conclude that the EU–Russian sanctions dispute incentivizes European companies to increase their engagement in Russia. These so-called defiance strategies diminish the real economic effect of the sanctions and generate a new equilibrium which outlasts the lifting of these restrictive measures and has negative long-term political implications.
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