基于神经网络的线损预测方法

Xiping Ma, Chen Liang, Xiaoyang Dong, Yaxin Li, Rui Xu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

线损率是衡量电力企业经营管理水平的综合性技术经济指标,线损率的预测对加强电力系统的管理起着举足轻重的作用。提出了一种基于灰色关联分析和神经网络的10kV线路损耗预测方法,并建立了基于神经网络的线路损耗预测模型;确定了不同配电网的神经网络模型的最优电特性指标数和隐层节点数,提高了神经网络模型的预测能力,减小了预测误差。最后,通过编制一个配电网预测实例,验证了所提预测方法的准确性和有效性。对预防和降低配电网高线损具有一定的参考价值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Line Loss Prediction Method Based on Neural Network
Line loss rate is a comprehensive technical and economic index to measure the level of operation and management of electric power enterprises, the prediction of line loss rate plays a pivotal role in strengthening the management of the electric power system. In this paper, a method for predicting 10kV line losses based on grey correlation analysis and neural networks is proposed, and a line loss prediction model based on neural network is established; the optimal number of electrical characteristic indexes and hidden layer nodes of neural network models of different distribution networks is determined, which improves the prediction ability of neural network models and reduces the prediction error. Finally, the accuracy and effectiveness of the proposed prediction method are verified by programming a real distribution network prediction example. It has certain reference value for the prevention and reduction of high line loss in distribution network.
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