胜利的经济基础:面对制裁的俄罗斯经济稳定的战略预测

A. Ageev, A. Bakhtizin, V. Makarov, E. L. Loginov, B. Khabriev
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引用次数: 0

摘要

攻击俄罗斯经济方向的关键参数和预期结果的预测,以前曾激发西方国家对政治政权不可避免地垮台的信心,这刺激了美国和欧盟的制裁活动,是由一些权威的西方专家机构开发的。西方在这些预测的基础上制定的在2022-2023年借助制裁摧毁俄罗斯经济的战略,并没有带来预期的结果。与此同时,来自CEMI RAS的一组俄罗斯科学家及其中国同事在2019年与美国和欧盟发生贸易战的背景下对俄罗斯和中国经济稳定的替代预测得到了充分证实。这些预测的核心是基于智能体建模的分析工具。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Economic Foundation of Victory: Strategic Forecast for the Russian Economy Stability in the Face of Sanctions
Key parameters of attacks directions on the Russian economy and forecasts of the expected results, which previously have inspired confidence in Western states that political regime would inevitability fall, which stimulated the US and EU sanctions activity, were developed by a number of authoritative Western expert structures. Western strategies for collapsing the Russian economy in 2022–2023 with the help of sanctions, formed on the basis of these forecasts, did not bring the desired result. At the same time, alternative forecasts of a group of Russian scientists from the CEMI RAS and their Chinese colleagues on stability of the economies of Russia and China in the event of a friendly policy in the context of trade wars with the US and the EU, made in 2019, were fully confirmed. At the core of these forecasts there are analytical tools based on agent modeling.
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