如何解释约瑟夫·卡比拉总统在2018年底被迫放弃权力之前寻求第三任期?

M. Rupiya
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引用次数: 1

摘要

影响中非地区的刚果政治、社会经济不稳定的时代又回来了。约瑟夫·卡比拉(Joseph Kabila)在其父洛朗·德西雷·卡比拉(Laurent Desire Kabila)遇刺后,在中非地区战争最激烈的时候被南部非洲发展共同体(SADC)任命为刚果民主共和国总统,此后近20年,他没有表现出任何放弃权力的意愿。在他2006年和2011年获得的宪法授权于2016年12月到期之后,情况更是如此。他的持续统治依赖于国家使用镇压性武力,这引发了包括有影响力的天主教会在内的政治反对派的激烈尝试,要求他立即辞职。作为回应,国家发动了镇压,导致死亡和社区流离失所,还导致被迫移民,破坏了大湖次区域的稳定。本文认为,在洛朗·卡比拉和他的儿子约瑟夫·蒙博托·塞塞·塞科匆忙离开后,扎伊尔(现为刚果民主共和国)的国家重建未能扎根,导致次区域不稳定,不仅席卷了大湖地区,而且席卷了整个南部非洲。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
What Explains President Joseph Kabila’s Quest for a Third Term until Pressured to Reluctantly Relinquish Power, late in 2018?
Abstract The era of Congolese political, socio-economic instability that has affected the central African region has returned, yet again. Nearly two decades after Joseph Kabila was installed as president of the Democratic Republic of Congo by the Southern African Development community (SADC), at the height of the regional central African war, following the assassination of his father, Laurent Desire Kabila, he has not shown any willingness to relinquish power. This is even so after the lapse of his constitutional mandates in December 2016, secured in 2006 and 2011. This continued reign, which is dependent on the repressive use of force by the state, has elicited spirited attempts by the political opposition, including the influential Catholic Church, calling for his immediate resignation. In response, the state has unleashed repression, which has resulted in fatalities and uprooted communities, resulting also in forced migration that destabilised the Great lakes sub-region. This article argues that the state reconstruction of Zaire, now the Democratic Republic of Congo, following the hurried departure of Mobutu Sese Seko, engineered by Laurent Kabila, and his son Joseph, has failed to take root, resulting in sub-regional instability that has engulfed, not only the Great lakes region, but also southern Africa as a whole.
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