基于GA-GRU模型的电动汽车充电负荷短期预测

Lei Guo, P. Shi, Yong Zhang, Zhengfeng Cao, Zhuping Liu, Bin Feng
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引用次数: 5

摘要

电动汽车作为一种清洁环保的出行方式,近年来越来越受欢迎。电动汽车充电负荷的增加将对现有电网产生特定的影响。与常规负荷不同,电动汽车充电负荷具有很大的随机性。为了准确预测电动汽车充电负荷的变化,采用K-means算法对各站点电动汽车充电曲线进行聚类。然后提出了一种栅极循环单元(GRU)神经网络预测模型,该模型的输入包括历史充电负荷、天气数据和日期类型。同时,采用遗传算法对GRU网络的超参数选择进行优化,形成GA-GRU模型。最后,通过华北地区的算例验证了该模型对电动汽车短期负荷的预测效果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Short-term EV Charging Load Forecasting Based on GA-GRU Model
As a cleaner and environmentally friendly travel mode, the popularity of electric vehicles(EV) increased in recent years. The increasing charging load of EV will have a specific impact on the existing power grid. Different from the conventional load, the charging load of EV has great randomness. To accurately predict the changes in the charging load of electric vehicles, the K-means algorithm is used to cluster the charging curves of electric vehicles at each station. Then a gate recurrent unit (GRU) neural network predictive model is proposed, whose inputs include historical charging load power, weather data, and date types. Simultaneously, a genetic algorithm (GA) is used to optimize the hyperparameter selection of the GRU network, forming the GA-GRU model. Finally, it is verified that the model can effectively predict the short-term load of EV through calculation examples of the North China.
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