企业层面经济政策不确定性、企业投资与金融资产

H. Nie, Rui Ruan, Ji Shen
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引用次数: 5

摘要

我们使用文本挖掘工具从个别中国上市公司的年报文本中提取经济政策不确定性的度量。我们使用一些可视化技术来呈现这一度量,并且根据我们的直觉,它会随着时间和部门的不同而变化。当总体不确定性升高时,感知经济政策不确定性测度的离散度显著上升。这一指标的差异主要来自行业层面。企业认为经济政策的不确定性减少了企业的投资支出,增加了持有金融资产。建议中国决策者在制定经济政策时应提高过程透明度,改善与企业的沟通,并更有效地管理企业的期望。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Firm-Level Economic Policy Uncertainty, Firms’ Investment and Financial Assets
We use text mining tools to extract a measure of economic policy uncertainty perceived by individual Chinese listed firms from their annual report texts. We present this measure with some visualization techniques and it varies over time and across sectors in accordance with our intuitions. The dispersion of the perceived economic policy uncertainty measure rises significantly when the aggregate uncertainty goes high. The variation of this measure comes mainly from sector levels. Firms perceived economic policy uncertainties decrease corporate investment expenditures and increase holding financial assets. It is suggested that Chinese policy makers should increase process transparency when formulating economic policies, improve communication with firms and manage their expectations more effectively.
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