汇率与股价关系研究(以伊朗为例)

Wafaa ibraheem askar, Fatima musshab laftah, Hussain bresam habib
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引用次数: 0

摘要

伊朗等发展中国家的宏观经济变量高度不稳定。与发达国家和工业国家相比,这些国家的汇率、股价和其他重要的宏观变量都在波动,这反过来又给投资者带来了不稳定的环境。因此,为了保证经济的长期增长,有必要分析资本市场和影响股价指数的关键因素,如汇率及其不确定性。本研究探讨汇率与股票价格之间的统计关系。因此,本研究利用2008-2017年期间股票交易所的汇率和价格指数数据来量化伊朗市场中这两个变量之间的关系。研究结果表明,汇率与股票价格指数之间的关系是不同的。结果表明,汇率与股票价格的变化方向一致,从长期分析来看,汇率的变化取决于股票价格的变化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Investigating the Relationship between Exchange Rate and Stock Price ( Case Study : iran)
Developing countries such as Iran have a high degree of instability in their macroeconomic variables. In these countries, exchange rates, stock prices, and other significant macro variables are fluctuating compared with advanced and industrial economies, and in turn, this creates an unstable environment for investors. Therefore, to guarantee long-term economic growth, it is necessary to analyze the capital market and the key factors affecting the stock price index, such as the exchange rate and its uncertainty. This study investigates the statistical relationship between exchange rate and stock prices. Accordingly, this study utilizes data on the exchange rate and the price index of the stock exchange during the years 2008-2017 to quantify the relationship between these two variables in the Iranian market. The results of the research show that the relationship between the exchange rate and the stock price index is different. The results indicate that the exchange rate and stock prices change in the same direction, and in a long-term analysis, the change in the exchange rate depends on the change in stock prices.
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