回顾流动性对房地产的影响:国际比较研究

Hajer R. Al Ameri
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摘要

在经历了2008年全球金融危机和2019冠状病毒病大流行造成的重大损失后,阿联酋房地产市场在2021年和2022年创下新高。随着外国投资者的资金涌入和油价的持续上涨,该行业的上升趋势可能会持续到未来几年。创新的政策和举措使阿联酋成为投资者的避风港,而欧洲和其他一些国家正在应对流动性紧缩。根据我们的观察,在阿联酋购买房产似乎是一项非常可靠的长期投资,在我们今天生活的不确定的世界里,这可能是最安全的投资之一。本文旨在研究流动性如何影响阿联酋和其他国家房地产市场的表现。调查结果显示,在许多国家面临财政紧缩,有些国家处于严重经济危机的边缘之际,阿联酋是一个理想的房地产投资目的地。阿联酋政府的政策,如黄金签证计划和零房产税,欢迎更多的外国人投资阿联酋的房产并在该国定居。外国人被这个国家健全的资本市场、优良的基础设施、稳定的经济和公认的没有系统性腐败所吸引。在高油价支撑流动性的情况下,未来几年阿联酋银行的信贷基本面将保持强劲。调查结果还表明,尽管人们担心全球经济衰退,但迪拜的房地产将继续蓬勃发展。然而,投资者应该为未来几年房地产价格和年租金可能上涨做好准备,因为随着油价上涨和外国直接投资的增加,阿联酋房地产市场将继续上涨。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Reviewing the Impact of Liquidity on Real Estate: An International Comparative Study
After battling significant losses due to the global financial crisis of 2008 and the COVID-19 pandemic, the UAE real estate market has seen new highs in 2021 and 2022. The uptrend of this sector is likely to continue into the next few years, with the money of foreign investors pouring in and the persistent increase in oil prices. Innovative policies and initiatives have made the UAE a haven for investors while Europe and some other countries deal with a liquidity crunch. As per our observations, property purchase in the UAE seems to be a very sound long-term investment, which is probably one of the safest in the uncertain world we are living in today. This paper aims to study how liquidity affects the performance of the real estate market in the UAE and other countries. The findings reveal that the UAE is an ideal real estate investment destination in times when many countries are facing tightening financial conditions, with some on the brink of deep economic crisis. UAE Government policies like the Golden Visa Scheme and zero property taxation welcome more expats to invest in UAE properties and settle in the country. Foreigners are attracted by the country’s sound capital markets, excellent infrastructure, economic stability, and perceived absence of systemic corruption. The credit fundamentals of UAE banks are strong for the coming years, with high oil prices supporting liquidity. The findings also suggest that Dubai real estate will continue to thrive despite the fear of global recession. However, investors should be prepared for a possible increase in property prices and annual rents in the coming years as the UAE real estate market continues its upward trajectory in line with the rising oil prices and foreign direct investments.
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