基于PI的集体恐慌行为模拟

W. Zheng, Daqiau Zhu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由PI(传播强度)引起的集体恐慌行为影响着公民的福利和社会(商业)的稳定。一个众所周知的挑战是理解恐慌行为的传播机制。在这项工作中,PI被分类为和,定义为概率中的系数(促进强度)和(抑制强度)。运用MAS (multi-agent-simulation)模型/工具构建了由个人、大众媒体、社会领袖和管理者四类参与者组成的系统结构。该工具从初始系数和激发集体恐慌行为,显示出群体规模和从众性条件下的不同结果。通过在紧急情况下制定规则和策略,该框架刺激了行动者之间的互动(例如个人之间、个人与大众媒体之间、个人与社会领袖之间、个人与管理者之间)。结果表明,目前的模拟器可能是模拟和分析恐慌行为中规则和策略组合的合适的第一步。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Simulation on Collective Panic Behavior Based on PI
The collective panic behavior, which is caused by PI (Propagation Intensity), influences the welfare of citizens and the stability of the society (business). A well-known challenge is to understand the spreading mechanism of the panic behavior. In this work, the PI is classified as  and , defined in the coefficient  (Promotion Intensity) and  (Inhibition Intensity) in the probability. MAS (multi-agent-simulation) model/tool is used to construct the systematic structure composed of four types of the participants (the individuals, the mass media, the social leaders, and the supervisors).This tool stimulates the collective panic behavior from the initial coefficient and , showing the different results in the condition of the population size and the conformity. Through setting up the rules and the strategies in an emergency, the framework stimulates the interaction between the agents (e.g. between the individuals, between the individuals and the mass media, between the individuals and the social leaders, between the individuals and the supervisors). The results advocate that the current simulator might be an appropriate first step towards the simulation and analysis of the combination of rules and strategies in panic behavior.
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