基于时间卷积网络和交互注意网络的股票运动预测

Sing Guo, Hui Ai, Shanxin Li
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引用次数: 0

摘要

股票走势预测是一项重要的研究,可以为投资者提供一些可靠的交易信号和长期稳定的投资回报。虽然已有的许多研究表明,利用社交平台的文本数据和历史股价可以有效地预测股票走势,但现有的方法仍然存在一定的局限性。例如,(i)未来信息不可避免地被用来获取文本和价格的特征;(ii)未考虑社交平台文本数据与历史股价数据的交互作用。为了缓解这些限制,我们提出了一种基于时间卷积网络(TCN)和交互关注网络(IAN)的预测股票走势的新方法,其中TCN在获取文本和价格特征时可以有效地避免使用未来信息。此外,IAN还可以获得社会文本与历史股价之间的交互特征。最后,采用三层神经网络分类器对股票走势进行预测。实验结果表明,与现有方法相比,该模型可以获得较好的结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Stock Movement Prediction via Temporal Convolutional Network and Interactive Attention Network
Stock movement prediction is an important study that can provide investors with some reliable trading signals and long-term stable investment returns. Although many existing studies show that using text data of social platforms and historical share prices can effectively predict stock movement, the existing methods still have some limitations. For example, (i) future information is inevitably used to obtain the features of text and price; (ii) The interaction between text data of social platforms and historical share price data was not considered. In order to alleviate these restrictions, we propose a novel method to predict the stock movement based on Temporal Convolution Network (TCN) and Interactive Attention Network (IAN), in which TCN can effectively avoid using future information when obtaining the features of text and price. In addition, IAN can get the interactive feature between social texts and historical share prices. In the end, we employ a three-layer neural network classifier to predict the stock movement. The experimental results show that the proposed model can obtain a competitive results compared with other existing methods.
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