建立大学高尔夫招募推荐系统

Michael Bassilios, Ava Jundanian, Joshua Barnard, Vienna Donnelly, Rachel Kreitzer, Stephen Adams, W. Scherer
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在大学体育的世界里,招募球员的过程是教练必须处理的最重要的任务之一。在800万高中运动员中,只有6%的人进入了NCAA球队,即使有广泛的数据可用,寻找和选择合适的球员仍然是一项极具挑战性的工作。一些体育项目,如足球和篮球,在使用预测分析来评估大学成绩方面取得了巨大成功。然而,这些努力尚未扩展到其他运动,如高尔夫球。鉴于公众可以获得大量关于青少年高尔夫球手的数据,将分析技术引入大学高尔夫招募显然是有潜力的。我们与领先的高尔夫分析公司GameForge合作,为大学教练创建了一个推荐工具,该工具利用现有的高中和大学高尔夫球手数据以及各种预测模型来展示我们认为最适合某一大学项目的运动员。采用系统分析方法来寻找最准确地预测高中球员在大学高尔夫比赛中取得成功的因素。这是通过各种各样的模型来完成的,包括预测高中运动员成为排名靠前的大学高尔夫球手的概率,发现与另一个理想球员表现相似的球员,以及预测初级高尔夫球手在高中和大学剩余职业生涯中的得分表现和发展。使用这些模型,我们确定了几个预测玩家相似性和表现的因素。研究团队迭代地开发了这些模型,以便相互结合使用,为大学教练提供有意义的、可理解的建议,建议他们应该招募哪些球员以获得最大的成功。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Developing a Recommendation System for Collegiate Golf Recruiting
In the world of college sports, the process of recruiting players is one of the most important tasks a coach must tackle. With only 6% of the 8 million high school athletes earning spots on NCAA teams, finding and selecting the right players can be incredibly challenging even with the availability of widespread data. Some sports, like football and basketball, have found great success using predictive analytics to estimate success in college. These efforts, however, have not yet been extended to other sports, such as golf. Given the vast amount of data available to the public on junior golfers, there is clear potential to bring analytics to college golf recruiting. We partnered with GameForge, a leading golf analytics company, to create a recommendation tool for college coaches, one that leverages the already existing data on high school and collegiate golfers and a variety of predictive models to display athletes we believe would best fit in a certain college program. A systems analysis approach was taken to find the factors that most accurately predict a high school player’s success in college golf. This was done with a variety of models including the forecasting of probability of a high school athlete being a top ranked college golfer, the finding of players with a similar performance to another desired player, and the predicting of a junior golfer's scoring performance and development during the remainder of their high school career and during college. Using these models, we identified several factors that are predictive of player similarity and performance. The research team iteratively developed these models to be used in conjunction with each other in order to provide meaningful, and understandable recommendations to a college coach on which players they should recruit to maximize success.
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